Ixabiso leToluene diisocyanateI-s yaqala ukunyuka kwakhona ngoSeptemba 28, i-1.3%, ecatshulwe kwi-19601 yuan / ton, ukunyuka okunyukayo kwe-30% ukususela ngo-Agasti 3. Emva kweli xesha lokunyuka, ixabiso le-TDI lisondele kwindawo ephakamileyo ye-19,800 yuan / ton. ngoFebruwari kulo nyaka.Phantsi koqikelelo olulondolozayo, umndilili wokukhula kwemfuno ye-TDI kwiminyaka embalwa ezayo iya kuba malunga ne-5.52%.Ukujonga phambili kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, iikhemikhali ziya kungenisa imigca emibini ephambili yokubuyiswa kwangaphakathi nangaphandle, kwaye umthamo wokuthunyelwa kweekhemikhali zaseChina eYurophu uya kwanda kakhulu.

Ngokukodwa kwiinkampani ezidweliswe, i-Wanhua Chemical yazisa ukuba ukususela ngo-Oktobha 2022, ixabiso le-Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. le-polymeric MDI e-China yi-RMB19,800 / ton (i-RMB2,300 / ton ukusuka kwixabiso likaSeptemba);ixabiso elidweliswe kwi-MDI ecocekileyo yi-RMB23,000/ton (i-RMB2,000/ton ukusuka kwixabiso likaSeptemba).

Iyonke i-32% yeenkampani ezinamandla kakhulu zanyanzeliswa ukuba zinqumle yonke okanye inxalenye yemveliso yazo ngenxa yokunyuka okubukhali kwamaxabiso egesi yendalo yaseYurophu, eyalathiswa kabini umyinge woshishino ngokubanzi.Imveliso ye-MDI yaseYurophu kunye ne-TDI zombini zingaphezulu kwekota yemveliso yehlabathi, kwaye izityalo zaseYurophu naseMelika zemichiza i-MDI kunye ne-TDI zivelisa umsantsa wokubonelela.

Ii-arhente zibonisa ukuba amaxabiso erhasi yendalo kulindeleke ukuba ahlale ephezulu xa kuthelekiswa nokwanda kokungaqiniseki malunga nokungeniswa kwerhasi yaseYurophu.Irhasi yendalo ngumthombo wamandla obalulekileyo kwimizi-mveliso kunye nezinto ezikrwada kwezinye iikhemikhali zaseYurophu.Umthamo wangoku wemveliso yaseYurophu ubalelwa kwiintlobo ngeentlobo eziphezulu zeevithamini, i-methionine, i-PVP, i-MDI, i-TDI, i-m-cresol, njl. Imichiza yaseYurophu egqithiselwa kwingeniso yokunyusa amaxabiso ehlabathi, kwelinye icala, ungasebenzisa ixabiso eliphantsi ngokwentelekiso lemathiriyeli ekrwada yasekhaya ukunyusa ukhuphiswano lokuthengisa kumazwe angaphandle kumazwe angaphandle.

Ingxelo yophando lweGuoxin Securities yakhankanya ukuba i-MDI esulungekileyo, ukusukela nge-8 kaSeptemba, imithombo yaseShanghai inikezela nge-18,200-18,800 yuan / ton, imithombo engaphandle inikezela nge-18,200-18,800 yuan /.I-TDI, kwi-2022, ukunyanzeliswa kweengxabano ze-geopolitical okanye isimo sezulu esibi kwakhokelela ekunyanzelisweni okukhulu kwengxaki yamandla yaseYurophu, iinkampani zaseYurophu zeekhemikhali ziya kuqhubeka zixhomekeke kwiindleko zamandla kunye nokunqongophala kwezinto eziluhlaza Impembelelo embi yakutshanje, iYurophu - China market TDI ukusasazeka uye waqhubeka ukwandisa ukuya ngaphezu $1400 / ton.Okwangoku, uxinzelelo lwe-inventri ye-TDI phakathi kunye nokufikelela okusezantsi akukho mkhulu, kodwa ukucolwa kwemfuno ye-terminal kusacotha.Abahlalutyi bacebisa ukuba bathathele ingqalelo ngokusebenzayo ukusebenza kwezixhobo zaphesheya kunye nokuma kokuthumela ngaphandle kwabavelisi basekhaya.

Ukusuka kwimbono yemfuno ephakathi kunye nexesha elide, i-MDI, imfuno yehlabathi ye-MDI iye yaqhubeka ikhula kwiminyaka eyi-10 edlulileyo, ukusuka kwi-4.65 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-2011 ukuya kwi-7.385 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-2020, kunye ne-CAGR ye-5.27%, ephezulu kune izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP ngexesha elifanayo, kwaye imfuno iqikelelwa ukukhula kwizinga lokukhula elihlanganisiweyo le-5% (ngaphakathi koluhlu lwe-4% -6%) kwiminyaka emi-5 ezayo.Imfuno ye-MDI kulindeleke ukuba ikhule kwi-CAGR ye-5% (4% -6%) kule minyaka mihlanu izayo.Ngaphantsi koqikelelo olulondolozayo, abahlalutyi baye babala ukuba umyinge wokukhula ngonyaka wemfuno ye-TDI kwiminyaka embalwa ezayo iya kuba malunga ne-5.52%.

Ukujonga phambili kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, ishishini lemichiza liya kungenisa imigca emibini ephambili yokubuyiswa kwangaphakathi nangaphandle, ngenxa yamaxabiso akhoyo amandla aphezulu eYurophu ngokuthe ngcembe aqhubela phambili kwiimveliso zeekhemikhali, amaxabiso emveliso yeekhemikhali yaseYurophu ukuphucula, imichiza yasekhaya. amaxabiso kunye namaxabiso aseYurophu aqhubeka nokwandisa umsantsa, kunye nexabiso lempahla yolwandle ebuyela ezantsi, abahlalutyi bakholelwa ukuba umthamo wokuthunyelwa kweekhemikhali zaseTshayina eYurophu uya kwanda kakhulu.

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