Ngo-Okthobha, i-phenol kunye ne-ketone industry chain yayisesothuso esinamandla ngokubanzi.Kuphela yi-MMA yeemveliso ezisezantsi eziye zala ngenyanga.Ukunyuka kwezinye iimveliso kwakuhlukile, kunye ne-MIBK ephakama kakhulu, ilandelwa yi-acetone.Ngenyanga, umgangatho wentengiso we-benzene ecocekileyo uqhubekile nokuhla emva kokunyuka, kwaye inqanaba eliphezulu le-East China uthethathethwano lafikelela kwi-8250-8300 yuan/toni kwiintsuku ezilishumi zokuqala.Phakathi kunye neentsuku ezilishumi zonyaka, imarike igxininise imiphumo emibi.Abavelisi abasezantsi banobunzima bokugaya ukwanda kwezinto eziluhlaza.Imarike yebenzene emsulwa ijike yaya ezantsi, nto leyo enento yokwenza nentsingiselo yentengiso ye-phenol.Ngokubhekiselele kwi-phenol, imarike ngenyanga yachatshazelwa ngumoya wamandla, icala leendleko kunye nokubonelela kunye nepateni yemfuno.Ukuqwalasela ukunqongophala kwenkxaso yeendleko, i-bisphenol A imvakalelo yemarike ayikho phezulu, ishishini alithembisi malunga nemarike yexesha elizayo, kwaye urhwebo notyalo-mali luyancipha.Ngelo xesha, nangona ixabiso le-bisphenol A lenyuka ngenyanga ngenyanga ka-Oktobha, ugxininiso olupheleleyo aluzange lube namandla, kwaye ukunikezelwa kulindeleke ukuba kwande.Nangona kunjalo, i-PC esezantsi kunye ne-epoxy resin yaqhubeka iyancipha, ngakumbi ngenxa yezivumelwano zokusetyenziswa.Imarike ye-bisphenol A yayinqongophele amandla okunyusa.Ezinye iimveliso zikwakhokelwa yindlela yonke yekhonkco leshishini.
Itheyibhile 1 Uluhlu lweNqanaba lokuPhakamisa nokuwa kwePhenol Ketone Industry Chain ngo-Oktobha

Umthombo wedatha yomfanekiso: Jin Lianchuang

Uhlalutyo lokunyuka nokuwa kwe-phenol ketone industry chain ngo-Oktobha

Umthombo wedatha: Jin Lianchuang
Njengoko kubonisiwe kulo mfanekiso ungentla, ngokwezibalo zokunyuka kwexabiso eliphakathi kwenyanga kunye nokuwa kwe-phenol kunye ne-ketone industry chain ngo-Oktobha, iimveliso ezisibhozo zenyuka ngesixhenxe kwaye zawa enye.

Umthombo wedatha: Jin Lianchuang
Ukongezelela, ngokutsho kwenyanga kwi-avareji yemanani amanani entengo ye-phenol kunye ne-ketone industry chain ngo-Oktobha, ukwanda kwemveliso nganye kulawulwa ngaphakathi kwe-15%.Phakathi kwabo, ukunyuka kwe-MIBK, imveliso ephantsi komlambo, iyona nto ibalaseleyo, ngelixa ukunyuka kwe-benzene ecocekileyo, imveliso ephezulu, incinci;Ngenyanga, kuphela imarike ye-MMA yawa, kwaye ixabiso le-avareji yenyanga lehla kwi-11.47% ngenyanga ngenyanga.
Ibenzene ecocekileyo: Emva kwemeko eqhelekileyo yentengiso yasekhaya ye-benzene ecocekileyo inyuke ngo-Okthobha, iqhubekile nokuhla.Ebudeni benyanga, ixabiso elidwelisiweyo leSinopec lebenzene emsulwa linyuke nge350 yuan/ton ukuya kwi8200 yuan/ton, laze lehla nge750 yuan/toni ukuya kwi7450 yuan/toni ukusuka nge13 kaOkthobha ukuya ekupheleni kwalenyanga.Kwiintsuku ezilishumi zokuqala, i-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe yaqhubeka inyuka, kwaye i-styrene esezantsi yayilungiswa.Abarhwebi abasezantsi bebefuna nje ukugcina kwaye banike inkxaso yentengiso.Imakethi ye-benzene emsulwa yenyuka kwixabiso, kwaye imarike yase-East China yathethathethana ukuba elona xabiso liphezulu linganyuka liye kuma-8250-8300 yuan/toni, kodwa ukunyuka kwemarike akuzange kuqhubeke.Phakathi kunye nasekupheleni kweentsuku ezilishumi, i-oli ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe yawa, imarike yebenzene emsulwa yangaphandle yasebenza ngokubuthathaka, kwaye i-styrene ezantsi yomlambo yothuka, nto leyo eyabangela ukuba imarike yase-East China ibuyele kwi-yuan/ton, kwaye imakethi yebenzene esulungekileyo yaqala ukuthengisa. ukwehla ngokuqhubekayo.Ukusukela nge-28 ka-Okthobha, ireferensi yothethathethwano lwemarike yebenzene esulungekileyo yase-China yi-7300-7350 yuan/ton, ukowuti lwemalike eqhelekileyo eMntla China yi-7500-7650 yuan/toni, kunye nenjongo yokuthenga iodolo enkulu yi-7450-7500 yuan/ton. .
Kulindeleke ukuba imarike ye-benzene ecocekileyo iya kuba buthathaka kwiintsuku ezilishumi zokuqala zikaNovemba, kwaye imarike iya kuguquguquka kwiintsuku ezilishumi zesibini.Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, i-plate yangaphandle ye-benzene ecocekileyo yayibuthathaka, kwaye ukusebenza kwe-styrene esezantsi kwakubuthathaka.Uluhlu lwe-benzene ecocekileyo e-East China Port lwaqokelelwa, kwaye iyunithi entsha yeShenghong Petrochemical yaqaliswa ukusebenza.Ukunikezelwa kwe-benzene ecocekileyo kwimarike kuya kwanda, kwaye ukugcinwa okucwangcisiweyo kwezinye iiyunithi ezisezantsi kuya kwanda.Imfuno ye-benzene ecocekileyo iyakwehla xa ithelekiswa nexesha elidlulileyo.Iziseko zobonelelo kunye nemfuno zibuthathaka.Imakethi ye-benzene ecocekileyo yasekhaya kulindeleke ukuba ihlale ibuthathaka.Embindini nasekupheleni kweentsuku ezilishumi, ukuba izixhobo ezitsha zebenzene ezicocekileyo zasekhaya ziqaliswe njengoko kucwangcisiwe, unikezelo lwentengiso luya kunyuka ngokuthe gqolo kwaye ukhuphiswano lwentengiso luya kuba luqilima.Kwangaxeshanye, ezinye izixhobo ezisezantsi zicetywa ukuqalisa kwakhona kwaye zande, imfuno ye-benzene esulungekileyo iya kunyuka ngakumbi, ukubonelela kunye nezidingo ezisisiseko ziya kuphuculwa, kwaye imarike yasekhaya ye-benzene ecocekileyo iya kushukunyiswa kwaye ilungelelaniswe kwakhona kwixesha elifutshane.Kwangaxeshanye, imarike kufuneka inike ingqwalasela kwindlela ye-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe, kunye nenzuzo nelahleko yotshintsho lwekhonkco lemizi-mveliso elisezantsi.
Ipropylene: Ngo-Okthobha, inqanaba eliphezulu lemarike yepropylene libuyele emva, kwaye iziko lexabiso liphinde lanyuka kancinane xa kuthelekiswa nenyanga edlulileyo.Ukususela ekupheleni kosuku lwe-31, ukuthengiselana okuqhelekileyo e-Shandong kuye kwafikelela kwi-7000-7100 yuan / ton, phantsi kwe-525 yuan / ton xa kuthelekiswa nokuvalwa kwenyanga edlulileyo.Uluhlu lokuguquguquka kwexabiso kwi-Shandong ngenyanga yayingu-7000-7750 yuan / ton, kunye ne-amplitude ye-10.71%.Kwiintsuku ezilishumi zokuqala zale nyanga (1008-1014), imarike yepropylene yayilawulwa ngokunyuka kokuqala kwaye iyancipha.Kwinqanaba lokuqala, i-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe iqhubekile nokunyuka, kwaye eyona marike iphambili yepropylene yayikwicala elomeleleyo, inemfuno entle yokusebenza.Izinto ezisisiseko zazilawulwa yinzuzo.Iziseko zobonelelo kunye nemfuno bezingekho phantsi koxinzelelo, kwaye amashishini emveliso aqhubeleka nokunyuka.Emva koko, intsingiselo ye-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe kunye ne-polypropylene yexesha elizayo yaba buthathaka, kwaye unikezelo lwasekhaya lwaphinda lwanda.Uxinzelelo kwiifektri zomntu ngamnye ukuba zithumele iinqanawa, zikhokelela ekwehleni kunye nokutsalela ezantsi urhwebo.Umdla wokuthenga ezantsi wehlile, kwaye ubuthathaka bemarike behlile.Phakathi kunye neentsuku ezilishumi emva kwexesha (1014-1021), imarike yepropylene yayizinzile, kunye nesikhokelo esicacileyo kwizinto ezisisiseko kunye nokubonelela okulinganiselwe kunye nemfuno.Okokuqala, ixabiso lepropylene laqhubeka liwela kwisigaba sokuqala, kwaye isimo sengqondo somenzi malunga nokulungiswa kwexabiso sanyuka ngokuthe ngcembe.I-downstream idinga ukuzalisa indawo yokugcina impahla ngexabiso eliphantsi, kwaye umoya wokurhweba kwimarike ulungile;Okwesibini, iindaba zokuvula nokuvala ze-Shandong PDH zixutywe, kunye nokungaqiniseki okunamandla.Abaqhubi balumkile ekurhwebeni, kwaye ikakhulu bajonga imakethi ngokwengqiqo, ngokuguquguquka okuncinci.Ekupheleni kwenyanga (1021-1031), imarike yepropylene yayibuthathaka kakhulu.Ngenxa yokungalingani phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno, unikezelo lwasekhaya luye lwaphindaphindeka, uxinzelelo lokuthunyelwa kwempahla lwenyuka, ukhuphiswano lwamaxabiso lwaqhubeka, okukhokelela ekunciphiseni ukukhuthaza ukuthunyelwa, kwaye ingqondo yemarike iyonke yatsalwa phantsi.Ukongezelela, iindawo ezininzi zichaphazeleka kwiziganeko zempilo yoluntu, kwaye i-downstream ifuna nje ukuthenga, ngoko ke imeko yokuthengisa imarike iba buthathaka.
NgoNovemba, imigaqo-nkqubo yemali evela kuqoqosho olukhulu lwaseYurophu naseMelika, izohlwayo zeoyile yaseNtshona yaseRussia kunye nokuphunyezwa kwesivumelwano sokunciphisa imveliso ye-OPEC + kunye nezinye izinto eziphembelelayo zazinzima, kwaye ukungaqiniseki ngokubanzi kwakunamandla.Bekulindeleke ukuba i-oyile ekrwada ibonise umkhwa wokunqanda kuqala kwaye inyuke, igxininise kwiinguqu zeendleko kunye neempembelelo zengqondo.Kwicala lokubonelela, ukunyuka kuseyeyona ndlela iphambili.Okokuqala, ukugcinwa kunye nokugcinwa kwezinye iiyunithi ze-dehydrogenation e-Shandong kulindeleke, kodwa ukungaqiniseki kunamandla, ngoko kuyacetyiswa ukuba uhlawule ingqwalasela kwixesha elizayo;Okwesibini, ngokusungulwa kwe-Tianhong kunye nokuqaliswa kwakhona kwe-HSBC, umthamo omtsha wokuvelisa uya kukhululwa kakhulu, kwaye ezinye iindawo zokucocwa kwendawo zilindeleke ukuba ziqalise kwakhona, kwaye ukunikezelwa kunokubuyisela;Okwesithathu, iziganeko zempilo yoluntu zenzeke rhoqo kwiindawo eziphambili zokuvelisa ipropylene, ezazinempembelelo ethile kumthamo wokuthutha.Kucetyiswa ukuba ubeke ingqalelo ngokusondeleyo kwiinguqu ze-inventri.Ngokwembono yemfuno, ingenile kwixesha lexesha lokunciphisa imfuno, kwaye imfuno esezantsi kunye nesiphelo se-polypropylene iyancipha, nto leyo ethintele ngokucacileyo imfuno yepropylene;Emazantsi oshishino lweekhemikhali, ezinye izityalo ze-propylene oxide kunye ne-acrylic acid kulindeleke ukuba zifakwe kwimveliso.Ukuba zifakwe kwimveliso njengoko kucwangcisiwe, imfuno yepropylene iya kunyuswa.I-Jinlianchuang ilindele ukuba unikezelo kunye nemfuno yomdlalo wentengiso yepropylene iya kuqina ngoNovemba, kwaye umsebenzi uya kulawulwa zizothuso ezibuthathaka.
Phenol: Imarike ye-phenol yasekhaya iyancipha kwinqanaba eliphezulu ngo-Okthobha, kwaye ukuguquguquka kweemarike kwachatshazelwa ngumoya wamandla, icala leendleko kunye nokubonelela kunye nepateni yemfuno.Ngexesha leholide, i-oli ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe kunye namandla kunye neemveliso zemichiza bezithande ukomelela, kwaye umoya wentengiso yeekhemikhali wawumhle.Emva kweholide, ixabiso elidwelisiweyo leSinopec pure benzene laphakanyiswa.Ukuqwalasela ukunqongophala okuqhubekayo kwezinto ezithengiswayo, abavelisi abaphambili be-phenol banikezela ngamaxabiso aphezulu, kwaye imarike yenyuka ngokukhawuleza ngexesha elifutshane.Nangona kunjalo, ngoko nangoko ixabiso le-oyile ekrwada laqhubeleka nokuhla, kwaye icandelo leshishini lamandla kunye nelemichiza liye latsala nzima.Ixabiso lokudweliswa kwe-Sinopec pure benzene lehle izihlandlo ezininzi enyangeni, nto leyo ekhokelele kurhwebo olubi oluxineneyo.Kwakunzima kubavelisi bemisinga ezantsi ukufunxa ukonyuka kwemathiriyeli ekrwada, kwaye ukuthengiswa kweemalike kwaba buthathaka kakhulu.Ngokukodwa, umbindi kunye neentsuku ezilishumi zonyaka zangena kwixesha lokuyekelela lonyaka, kwaye ii-odolo ezintsha zesiphelo zazingalunganga.Ukuhanjiswa okulambathayo kwezityalo ezisezantsi kwephenol kukhokelele ekwenyukeni komgangatho wemveliso kunye nokwehla okubukhali kwemfuno yemathiriyeli ekrwada.Ukuqwalasela ukunqongophala kwenkxaso yeendleko, i-bisphenol A imvakalelo yemarike ayikho phezulu, ishishini alithembisi malunga nemarike yexesha elizayo, kwaye urhwebo notyalo-mali luba buthathaka kwaye luphelelwe lixesha.Nangona kunjalo, i-inventory ye-port yahlala iphantsi, ukuzaliswa kwakhona kwi-port kwakungaphantsi kunokuba bekulindelwe, kwaye izinga lokusebenza lilonke lamashishini asekhaya e-phenol ketone lalingekho phezulu, kwaye unikezelo lwamabala aqinileyo luxhasa uvimba wexabiso.Ukusukela nge-27 ka-Okthobha, imakethi yephenol eMpuma China bekuxoxiwe malunga ne-10,300 yuan/toni, phantsi kwe-550-600 yuan/toni ngenyanga ngenyanga ukusuka nge-26 kaSeptemba.
Imarike ye-phenol yasekhaya kulindeleke ukuba ibe buthathaka kwaye iguquguquke ngoNovemba.Ukuqwalasela ubuthathaka becala leendleko kunye nobunzima bokuphucula imfuno ye-terminal kwixesha elifutshane, i-rebound ye-marketrebound ayinayo isantya, kwaye ipateni yobonelelo olubuthathaka kunye nemfuno inokuqhubeka.Umthamo omtsha we-phenol wokuvelisa i-Wanhua e-China kulindeleke ukuba isetyenziswe ngoNovemba kulo nyaka, ukwandisa ukulinda nokubona isimo sengqondo soshishino.Nangona kunjalo, amashishini emveliso ye-phenol anomnqweno olinganiselweyo wokunciphisa amaxabiso, kunye ne-inventory ephantsi yezibuko nayo inenkxaso ethile.Ngaphandle kokwenza mandundu ngakumbi ukuchasana phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno, kukho indawo elinganiselweyo yokuhla kwamaxabiso okuqhubekayo.Umthamo wemveliso we-bisphenol A osezantsi uyaqhubeka ukukhula, kwaye imiqobo evela kwicala lemfuno inokuncitshiswa.Kulindeleke ukuba ixabiso le-phenol litshintshe kancinci ngoNovemba, ngoko ke kuyimfuneko ukunikela ingqalelo ekulandeleni iindaba ezinkulu, icala leendleko, imarike yokuphela kunye namashishini asezantsi.
I-acetone: Ngo-Oktobha, imarike ye-acetone yavuka kuqala kwaye yawa, ibonisa i-V eguqulweyo.Ekupheleni kwale nyanga, ixabiso lemarike eMpuma China linyuke nge-100 yuan/toni ukuya kuma-5650 yuan/toni xa kuthelekiswa nokuphela kwenyanga ephelileyo.Ngenxa ye-oyile ekrwada eyomeleleyo yamazwe ngamazwe ngexesha leholide yoSuku lweSizwe, imathiriyeli ecocekileyo yebenzene yenyuka kabukhali, kwaye imakethi yeacetone yavuleka phezulu emva kweholide.Ngokukodwa, unikezelo lwamabala lwaqhubeka luqina.Abanini bempahla ngokuqhelekileyo babemadolw’ anzima ukuthengisa ngamaxabiso aphantsi, kwaye bade babonakale ngathi basemoyeni.Imarike yakhawuleza yanyuka yaya kutsho kwi-6200 yuan/ton.Nangona kunjalo, emva kwexabiso eliphezulu, ukulandelwa kwezantsi kwakubuthathaka.Abanye abarhwebi bakhetha ukuthatha ingeniso, kwaye iinjongo zabo zokuthumela ngenqanawa zanda.Imarike yawa kancinane, kodwa njengoko i-inventory ye-port iqhubekile ukuhla, Phakathi nonyaka, imvakalelo yemarike yaqhubeka iphucula, amaxabiso amashishini anyuka ngokulandelelana, kwaye imarike ye-acetone yabonisa ukusebenza okuqinileyo.Ukususela ekupheleni kosuku, umoya wemarike waba buthathaka.I-bisphenol A esezantsi kunye neemarike ze-isopropanol zaqhubeka zibuyela emva, kwaye ukuzithemba kwamanye amashishini kuye kwakhululeka.Ukongezelela, iinqanawa ezifika kwizibuko zothulwa ngokulandelelanayo.Imeko exineneyo yonikezelo lwamabala yathotywa, imfuno esezantsi yehla, kwaye intengiso yehla kancinci.
Kulindeleke ukuba imarike ye-acetone ibe buthathaka ngoNovemba.Nangona i-650000 t / i-phenol kunye nesityalo se-ketone sase-Ningbo Taihua sele iqalile ukulungiswa, i-300000 t / a phenol kunye nesityalo se-ketone e-Changshu Changchun icwangciswe ukuqalisa kwakhona ngoNovemba, kwaye isityalo se-phenol kunye ne-ketone sinenzuzo enhle.Kusekho indawo yokuphuculwa kobonelelo lwasekhaya.Uninzi lweemveliso ezisezantsi zisebuthathaka.Iinjongo zokuthengwa kwempahla ezantsi zilumkile.Ngokubanzi, kulindeleke ukuba imarike ye-acetone iya kuncipha ngokufanelekileyo ngoNovemba.
I-Bisphenol A: Ngo-Okthobha, imakethi ye-bisphenol A yasekhaya iye yawa kuqala yaza yavuka.Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, ngenxa yokunyuka kwempahla yefektri ngexesha leeholide, imarike yayizinzile kwaye ibuthathaka.Imo yokulinda-nokubona inzima.Embindini wale nyanga, iZhejiang Petrochemical yabamba ifandesi yomthendeleko weposi, kwaye ixabiso laqhubeka lihla, elibe nempembelelo embi kwimarike ye-bisphenol A.Emva komthendeleko, umthwalo weyunithi yeSinopec Mitsui yanda emva kokuqaliswa kwakhona, kwaye umthwalo weyunithi yePingmei Shenma yanda.Emva komthendeleko, izinga lokusebenza kwe-bisphenol A ishishini liye lanyuka, kwaye ukubonelela kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke.Ukongezelela, emva komthendeleko, ixabiso le-phenol laphakama kancane, libonisa ukuhla.I-PC ephantsi kunye ne-epoxy resin yaqhubeka iyancipha, eyayinempembelelo ethile kwi-bisphenol A, ikakhulukazi iwela phakathi kwenyanga.Ekupheleni kwenyanga, emva kokugqitywa kokuzaliswa kwezantsi, umdla wokuthenga wehla, kwaye umjikelo omtsha wekhontrakthi waqala ekupheleni kwenyanga.Umzantsi womlambo wawudla kakhulu izivumelwano.Ukuthengiswa kwee-odolo ezintsha kwakunganelanga, kwaye ukukhawuleza kwe-BPA ukukhawuleza kwakunganelanga, kwaye ixabiso laqala ukuhla.Ngomhla wokugqibela, uthethathethwano lwereferensi ye-East China ye-bisphenol A imakethi yayimalunga ne-16300-16500 yuan/ton, kwaye ixabiso le-avareji leveki linyuke nge-12.94% ngenyanga ngenyanga.
Kulindeleke ukuba imarike yasekhaya ye-bisphenol A iya kuqhubeka nokuhla ngoNovemba.Inkxaso yezinto eziluhlaza phenol ketone ye-bisphenol A ibuthathaka.Ukuchaphazeleka ngokuhla okubukhali kwiimarike ngo-Oktobha, iimeko zeemarike ze-bearish kwizinto eziluhlaza zichaza uninzi, kwaye akukho ndaba zilungileyo zokuxhasa imarike.Imarike ibuthathaka, kwaye amathuba ohlengahlengiso mkhulu.Nika ingqwalasela ethe kratya kutshintsho ekuboneleleni nasekufuneni.

Chemwinyinkampani yokurhweba ngemichiza ekrwada e-China, eseShanghai Pudong Indawo eNtsha, enothungelwano lwamazibuko, izikhululo, izikhululo zeenqwelo moya kunye nothutho lukaloliwe, kunye neendawo zokugcina imichiza kunye neekhemikhali ezinobungozi eShanghai, eGuangzhou, eJiangyin, eDalian naseNingbo Zhoushan, eTshayina. , egcina ngaphezu kweetoni ezingama-50,000 zemathiriyeli ekrwada unyaka wonke, kunye nobonelelo olwaneleyo, wamkelekile ukuba uthenge kwaye ubuze.i-imeyile ye-chemwin:service@skychemwin.comwhatsapp: 19117288062 Umnxeba: +86 4008620777 +86 19117288062