Njengekhemikhali esetyenziswa kakhulu, i-methanol isetyenziselwa ukuvelisa iintlobo ezininzi zeekhemikhali ezahlukeneyo, ezifana neepolima, izinyibilikisi kunye namafutha.Phakathi kwazo, i-methanol yasekhaya yenziwa ikakhulu ngamalahle, kwaye i-methanol ethunyelwa ngaphandle yahlulwe kakhulu yaba yimithombo yaseIran kunye nemithombo engeyiyo yaseIran.Unikezelo lwecala lokubonelela luxhomekeke kumjikelo we-inventri, ukunyuka kobonelelo kunye nonikezelo olulolunye.Njengowona mlambo usezantsi we-methanol, imfuno ye-MTO inempembelelo ebalulekileyo kwixabiso lexabiso lemethanol.

1.Ixabiso lexabiso leMethanol

Ngokweenkcukacha-manani zedatha, ekupheleni konyaka ophelileyo, umthamo wonyaka weshishini le-methanol wawumalunga ne-99.5 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye ukukhula kwamandla onyaka kwakuhamba kancinci kancinci.Umthamo omtsha ocetywayo we-methanol ngo-2023 wawumalunga neetoni ezi-5 zezigidi, kwaye umthamo omtsha wokwenene kulindeleke ukuba uphendule malunga ne-80%, ufikelele malunga neetoni ezi-4 zezigidi.Phakathi kwabo, kwikota yokuqala yalo nyaka, i-Ningxia Baofeng Phase III enomthamo wonyaka we-2.4 yezigidi zeetoni inethuba eliphezulu lokubeka kwimveliso.
Kukho izinto ezininzi ezimisela ixabiso le-methanol, kubandakanywa ukubonelela kunye nemfuno, iindleko zemveliso kunye neemeko zoqoqosho zehlabathi.Ukongezelela, ixabiso leoli ekrwada elisetyenziselwa ukuvelisa i-methanol liya kuchaphazela ixabiso lexesha elizayo le-methanol, kunye nemimiselo yokusingqongileyo, inkqubela phambili yezobuchwepheshe kunye neziganeko ze-geopolitical.
Ukuguquguquka kwexabiso lexesha elizayo lemethanol likwabonisa ukuqheleka okuthile.Ngokuqhelekileyo, ixabiso le-methanol ngo-Matshi nango-Epreli wonyaka ngamnye lenza uxinzelelo, oluqhelekileyo ixesha lokungabikho kwemfuno.Ke ngoko, ukulungiswa ngokutsha kwesityalo semethanol nako kuqalwa kancinci kancinci kweli nqanaba.UJuni noJulayi lixesha eliphezulu lokuqokelela i-methanol, kwaye ixabiso le-off-season liphantsi.I-Methanol yawa kakhulu ngo-Oktobha.Kunyaka ophelileyo, emva koSuku lweSizwe ngo-Oktobha, i-MA yavula phezulu kwaye yavalwa phantsi.

2.Uhlalutyo kunye noqikelelo lweemeko zemarike

Ikamva le-Methanol lisetyenziswa ngamashishini ahlukeneyo, kubandakanywa amandla, iikhemikhali, iiplastiki kunye neendwangu, kwaye zihlobene ngokusondeleyo kwiindidi ezinxulumene nazo.Ukongezelela, i-methanol iyona nxalenye ephambili yeemveliso ezininzi ezifana ne-formaldehyde, i-acetic acid kunye ne-dimethyl ether (i-DME), enoluhlu olubanzi lwezicelo.

Kwimarike yezizwe ngezizwe, iTshayina, iUnited States, iYurophu kunye neJapan ngabona bathengi bakhulu bemethanol.I-China ngoyena mvelisi mkhulu kunye nomthengi we-methanol, kwaye imarike yayo ye-methanol inefuthe elibalulekileyo kwimarike yamazwe ngamazwe.Imfuno yaseTshayina yemethanol iqhubekile nokukhula kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo, iqhuba ixabiso lemarike yamazwe ngamazwe.

Ukususela ngoJanuwari kulo nyaka, ukuchasana phakathi kokunikezelwa kwe-methanol kunye nemfuno kuye kwabancinci, kwaye umthwalo wenyanga wokusebenza we-MTO, i-acetic acid kunye ne-MTBE inyuke kancane.Umthwalo oqalayo uwonke ekupheleni kwemethanol yelizwe wehlile.Ngokweenkcukacha-manani, umthamo wenyanga we-methanol obandakanyekayo malunga neetoni ze-102 yezigidi, kubandakanywa iitoni ezingama-600000 / ngonyaka we-Kunpeng e-Ningxia, iitoni ezingama-250000 / ngonyaka weJuncheng e-Shanxi kunye ne-500000 yeetoni / ngonyaka we-Anhui Carbonxin ngoFebruwari.
Ngokubanzi, kwixesha elifutshane, i-methanol inokuqhubeka iguquguquka, ngelixa imarike yendawo kunye ne-disk market zisebenza kakuhle.Kulindeleke ukuba unikezelo lwemethanol kunye nemfuno iya kuqhutywa okanye ibe buthathaka kwikota yesibini yalo nyaka, kwaye inzuzo ye-MTO kulindeleke ukuba ilungiswe phezulu.Ekuhambeni kwexesha, iyunithi ye-MTO i-elasticity yenzuzo ilinganiselwe kwaye uxinzelelo kwi-PP yokubonelela kunye nemfuno inkulu kwixesha eliphakathi.