Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, amaxabiso emarike yepropylene yasekhaya enyuke kancinci unyaka nonyaka, kunye neendleko eziphezulu ziyeyona nto inempembelelo exhasa amaxabiso epropylene.Nangona kunjalo, ukukhutshwa okuqhubekayo komthamo omtsha wemveliso kukhokelele ekunyukeni koxinzelelo ekuboneleleni kweemarike, kodwa kunye nokunyuka kwexabiso lepropylene, isiqingatha sokuqala senzuzo yonke ye-propylene industry chain siye sancipha.Kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, uxinzelelo kwicala leendleko lunokunciphisa kancinci, ngelixa icala lokubonelela kunye nemfuno kulindeleke ukuba liphucule impembelelo yamaxabiso epropylene kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka kulindeleke ukuba anyuke aze awe, umyinge. inqanaba lexabiso lisenokungabi phezulu njengakwisiqingatha sokuqala.

Izinto eziphambili ezichaphazela imarike yepropylene yasekhaya kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022 zilandelayo.

1. Ukunyuka kweendleko eziphawulekayo zonyaka-nyaka, ukwenza inkxaso efanelekileyo kumaxabiso epropylene.

2. ukunyuka kwendlela yonikezelo olupheleleyo, nto leyo idonsa ukunyuka kwexabiso lepropylene.

3. Ukunyuka kwemfuno kodwa ukucutheka kweengeniso, ukonyusa okulinganiselweyo kumaxabiso epropylene.

Imathiriyeli ekrwada yePropylene yonyuka ngaphezu kweemveliso ezisezantsi, ingeniso yekhonkco leshishini liyehla

Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, ixabiso lemveliso yepropylene yonyuka ukusuka kwizinto eziluhlaza ukuya kwiimveliso ezisezantsi ngokuhla komyalelo.Njengoko kunokubonwa kwitheyibhile engezantsi, ixabiso leoli ekrwada kunye nepropane njengezona zinto ziphambili zepropylene zenyuka kakhulu kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, ngakumbi amaxabiso eoli anyuka nge-60.88% ngonyaka, ekhokelela ekubalulekeni okukhulu. ukwanda kweendleko zemveliso yepropylene.Xa kuthelekiswa nezinto ezibonakalayo, amaxabiso epropylene asekhaya anyuka ngaphantsi kwe-4% ngonyaka, kwaye imboni yepropylene yawela kwilahleko enkulu.Ipropylene ezantsi komlambo amaxabiso ehla unyaka nonyaka, ikakhulu ipropylene oxide, ibutyl alcohol, acrylonitrile, amaxabiso eacetone ehle kakhulu.Inzuzo yepropylene derivatives of the downstream yehlile ngokubanzi kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka ngenxa yendibaniselwano yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ezinto ezikrwada kunye nokuhla kwamaxabiso eemveliso ngokwazo.

Iindleko zepropylene zenyuka kakhulu unyaka nonyaka, zixhasa amaxabiso epropylene ngokufanelekileyo

Iindleko zenyuka kakhulu, uninzi lweenkqubo eziwela kwilahleko.Inzuzo yepropylene ye-2022 yayihluphekile kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, kunye neendleko zepropylene ezihlukeneyo zenkqubo ekhuphuka ngamaxabiso ahlukeneyo unyaka nonyaka, nge-15% -45%, ebonisa ukunyuka okukhulu kwamaxabiso ezinto eziphathekayo.Nangona umbindi womxhuzulane wamaxabiso epropylene nawo wenyuka, kodwa izinga lokunyuka belingaphantsi kwe-4%.Ngenxa yoko, inzuzo yeenkqubo ezahlukeneyo zepropylene yehla kakhulu unyaka nonyaka, nge-60% -262%.Ngaphandle kwepropylene esekelwe ngamalahle, eyayinenzuzo encinci, ezinye iinkqubo zepropylene zazilahlekelwa kakhulu.
Iyonke indlela yokubonelela ngepropylene iyenyuka, itsala amaxabiso epropylene phezulu

Umthamo omtsha uyaqhubeka nokukhululwa, kunye nokukhula kwangaxeshanye kwimveliso yamandla.I-2021 i-H1 iquka isigaba sesibini se-Zhenhai Refinery, i-Lihua Yi, i-Qi Xiang, i-Xinyue, i-Xinjiang Hengyou, i-Srbang, i-Anqing Tai Hengfa, i-Xintai, i-Tianjin Bohua, njl. Inani lezityalo ze-propylene zifakwe ekusebenzeni.Umthamo omtsha usasazwa kakhulu e-Shandong naseMpuma ye-China, kunye nenani elincinci lokusabalalisa eMntla-ntshona, eMntla nakwi-Central China.Inkqubo yokuvelisa amandla amatsha ikakhulu iPDH, ukuqhekeka komntu ngamnye, ukuqhekeka kwe-catalytic, iinkqubo zokuvelisa i-MTO kunye ne-MTP nazo zikhona.I-3.58 yezigidi zeetoni zomthamo omtsha wepropylene zasekhaya zongezwa kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, kwaye umthamo wepropylene wasekhaya uwonke ukhule waya kwi-53.58 yezigidi zeetoni.Ukukhutshwa komthamo omtsha wepropylene kubangele ukwanda kwemveliso, kunye nemveliso yepropylene yasekhaya iyonke ye-22.4 yeetoni zezigidi kwi-H1 2022, ukwanda kwe-5.81% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo kwi-2021.

Umyinge wexabiso lokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe lonyuka unyaka nonyaka, kwaye umthamo wezinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle wehla kakhulu.2022 H1 i-avareji yexabiso lokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe liye lanyuka unyaka nonyaka, kwaye amathuba e-arbitrage empahla evela kumazwe angaphandle aye aqingqwa.Ngokukodwa, ngo-Epreli 2022, ukungeniswa kwepropylene yasekhaya yayiziitoni ezingama-54,600 kuphela, irekhodi eliphantsi kwiminyaka eyi-14 edlulileyo.ipropylene iyonke yokungenisa kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022 kulindeleke ukuba ibe yi-965,500 yeetoni, phantsi kwe-22.46% ukusuka kwixesha elifanayo ngo-2021. Njengoko unikezelo lwepropylene lwasekhaya luqhubeka lukhula, isabelo semarike yokungenisa elizweni sinyanzeliswa ngakumbi, ngokuhambelana nokulindela kweemarike.
Imfuno yepropylene iyanda kodwa inzuzo esezantsi iyancipha, ukonyuka okuncinci kumaxabiso epropylene

Ukusetyenziswa kwepropylene kwanda unyaka nonyaka kunye nokukhululwa kwamandla amatsha ezantsi.I-2022 i-H1 iquka ukugunyaziswa kwenani leeyunithi ezisezantsi ezibandakanya i-Lianhong New Materials, i-Weifang Shu Skin Kang i-polypropylene plant, i-Lijin Refinery, i-Tianchen Qixiang acrylonitrile plant, i-Zhenhai II, i-Tianjin Bohua isityalo se-propylene oxide kunye ne-ZPCC yokukhula kwe-acetone plant, ukuqhuba isityalo se-acetone.Umthamo omtsha osezantsi ugxininiswe eShandong naseMpuma yeChina, kunye nenani elincinci lokusabalalisa eMntla China.I-23.74 yezigidi zeetoni zokusetyenziswa kwepropylene ezantsi komlambo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, ukunyuka nge-7.03% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo ngo-2021.

Amashishini asekhaya athumela kumazwe angaphandle ngenkuthalo, kwaye umthamo wokuthunyelwa kwepropylene unyuka unyaka nonyaka.Ngokunyuka okukhawulezileyo komthamo wemveliso yepropylene yasekhaya kunye nokwanda okukhulu koxinzelelo lwemalike ekhuphisanayo, ezinye izityalo eziphambili zifuna ngamathuba okuthengisa ngaphandle, kunye nokuvela kwesigaba sendawo ye-arbitrage, umthamo wokuthunyelwa kwepropylene unyuke kakhulu unyaka nonyaka.
Iimveliso ezisezantsi ziyancipha inzuzo, ukukwazi ukwamkela amaxabiso ezinto ezikrwada kwehlile.isiqingatha sokuqala se-2022 amaxabiso ezinto ekrwada anyukile, ngelixa amaxabiso e-propylene ezantsi kwe-derivatives ehla kakhulu, inzuzo yeemveliso zepropylene ezisezantsi ziye zehla ngokubanzi.Phakathi kwabo, inzuzo ye-butanol kunye ne-acrylic acid izinzile, kwaye inzuzo ye-propylene indlela ye-ECH iphuculwe.Nangona kunjalo, i-polypropylene powder, i-acrylonitrile, i-phenol ketone kunye ne-propylene oxide inzuzo yonke iyancipha kakhulu, kwaye i-polypropylene ephantsi kakhulu yawela kwiilahleko zexesha elide.Ukwamkeleka kwezityalo zepropylene kumaxabiso ezinto ezikrwada ehlile kwaye umdla wazo wokuthenga waba mbi, nto leyo echaphazele imfuno yepropylene ukuya kumlinganiselo othile.

Amaxabiso epropylene kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka kulindeleke ukuba anyuke kwaye emva koko awe, kunye namanqanaba amaxabiso aphakathi angekho phezulu njengesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka.

Kwicala leendleko, amaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza anokuthi awele kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, kwaye inkxaso yeendleko zepropylene ingaba buthathaka kancinci.

Kwicala lonikezelo, ukuthengwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle bekusezantsi ngokwentelekiso kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke kancinane kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka njengoko ukuthengwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle ngokuthe ngcembe kuya kukhula.Kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, kusekho ezinye izicwangciso zamandla emveliso yasekhaya ezitsha zokuqalisa ukusebenza, umthamo wokubonelela ngepropylene uyaqhubeka nokwandisa, uxinzelelo lokubonelela ngemarike aluncitshiswanga, impembelelo yecala lokubonelela isenamandla.

Icala lemfuno, ingeniso ephambili ye-polypropylene esezantsi kunye nesimo sokuqalisa kuseyeyona nto iphambili echaphazela imfuno yepropylene, enye imfuno yeekhemikhali esezantsi kulindeleke ukuba izinzile.Uxinzelelo olusezantsi lunokwenyuka ngoNovemba noDisemba.

Ngokubanzi, ixabiso lepropylene kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka linokuthi liphakame kwaye lihle, kwaye i-avareji yexabiso leziko lomxhuzulane alinakuba phezulu kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka.Iziko eliqhelekileyo lexabiso lemarike yepropylene yeShandong kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka kulindeleke ukuba ibe yi-7700-7800 yuan / ton, kunye nexabiso lexabiso le-7000-8300 yuan / ton.

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