NgoJulayi phenol ketone ishishini lemarike yemveliso ibuthathaka ngokubanzi.Umjelo onyukayo wezinto ezikrwada ezicocekileyo zebenzene jikelele, i-port ecocekileyo ye-benzene inventory ukugcina inqanaba eliphantsi, kodwa i-oyile ekrwada kunye notshintshiselwano olusulungekileyo lwebenzene lwangaphandle phezulu naphantsi, imvakalelo yoxinzelelo lwexabiso esezantsi ayipheli, ipesenti ye-4.41 yeepesenti yokuhla ukukhokela, ixabiso phenol kunye nenkxaso acetone buthathaka.Imakethi ye-phenol iguquguquka kakhulu, kunye namaxabiso aphindeka ngokukhawuleza emva kokuhla, impembelelo yobonelelo kunye nezidingo ezisisiseko ziye zaqina, kwaye imeko yemfuno ebuthathaka yomlambo kunzima ukuyiphucula.Ngexesha elifanayo, ukusebenza kwezantsi kubuthathaka, ukuhla kuyahluka.I-Bisphenol A unikezelo kunye nemfuno isoloko ikwimeko yomdlalo, inkxaso yemalike ekrwada ibuthathaka, ngokungabikho kwenkxaso elungileyo, amaxabiso e-bisphenol A abuthathaka oscillation, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lenyanga lehla nge-18.45%, libekwe kwindawo yokuqala kwikhonkco leshishini le-phenol ketone. ukuhla.

Julayi phenone industry chain up and down analysis

Ukongeza, ukusuka kuJulayi phenol ketone industry chain nyanga nenyanga avareji amanani chain amanani, ukwehla kwemveliso nganye ikakhulu kugxininiswe 5% -15%;Ukongezelela, ukuhla okuphawulekayo xa i-bisphenol A, ixabiso le-avareji yenyanga ye-18.45% ngaphantsi kweringi.

Phenolic ketone industry chain uhlalutyo lweemveliso eziphambili

Ibenzene ecocekileyo

NgoJulayi, imarike yasekhaya yebenzene esulungekileyo iyonke yindlela ehlayo, isiqingatha sokuqala sokuwa kweoli ekrwada yokuwa, ibenzene esulungekileyo yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle, ukunqongophala kwenkxaso yemalike yentengiso, i-port yebenzene ecocekileyo ihlala iphantsi. , kodwa imvakalelo yoxinzelelo ezantsi, East China ecocekileyo benzene market phantsi kabukhali;Kwisiqingatha sesibini seoli ekrwada kunye ne-benzone esulungekileyo enaniselwano lwangaphandle zibambe ziqine phezulu, imarike yengqondo iphuculwe, i-port ye-benzene inventory iyaqhubeka nokuhla, i-East China esulungekileyo yentengiso ye-benzene negotiation ebanzi, imarike Uthethathethwano wenyuka waya kwi-9600-9650 yuan/ ton, kodwa njengoko ukuphela kwenyanga kusondela, iintetho zeemarike zase-East China zakhawuleza zabuyela kwi-8850-8900 yuan / ton.Nangona kunjalo, ukuguquguquka eMantla eTshayina kulinganiselwe, kwaye umsinga osezantsi ufuna nje ukuthenga, umahluko wommandla wentengiso ukhona.Ukusukela nge-29 kaJulayi, ireferensi yothethathethwano lwemarike yebenzene esulungekileyo yase-China 8850-8900 yuan / ton, unikezelo lwemalike yaseMntla China nge-8900-8950 yuan / ton, ezantsi umlambo onenjongo yokuthenga enye nge-8800-8850 yuan / ton delivery.

Imarike ye-benzene ecocekileyo kulindeleke ukuba iqale ngo-Agasti, indawo yokuguquguquka ilinganiselwe.Ixabiso lokungeniswa kwebenzene elimsulwa lijonge ezantsi, ukunqongophala kwenkxaso kwimarike yebenzene esulungekileyo, ngelixa ilahleko yetyathanga lemveliso esezantsi iqhubeleka, kunye nesicwangciso sokugcinwa kwesixhobo esisezantsi sigxininiswe ngokwentelekiso, ukuncitshiswa kwemfuno yemarike.Ngokuphathelele i-benzene ecocekileyo, uluhlu lwezibuko lwe-benzene ecocekileyo luhlala luphantsi, kodwa isicwangciso esitsha sokugcinwa kwebenzene ecocekileyo silinganiselwe, kwaye iShanghai Petrochemical, iQilu Petrochemical kunye nezinye izixhobo ziya kuphinda ziqalise enye emva kwenye, ukunikezelwa kwemarike yebenzene ecocekileyo iye yafunyanwa. Iziseko zoguquguqukayo zizonke, kodwa imeko yamazwe ngamazwe iyatshintsha, i-oyile ekrwada inyuka inyuka ngokungahambi kakuhle, uluhlu olubanzi lokuguquguquka, ukuze imarike yebenzene esulungekileyo yandise umdlalo omde nomfutshane.

Ipropylene

NgoJulayi, unikezelo kunye nomdlalo wemfuno uye waqina, kwaye amaxabiso epropylene awothuka kakhulu.Ngenyanga, iziko lobunzima bexabiso lepropylene lawa ngokuthe ngcembe, iintsilelo eziphambili zilandelayo.

Okokuqala, i-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe igcine uluhlu olubanzi lwe-oscillations, kodwa iziko lexabiso lomxhuzulane liqhubekile nokuhla, ukuhla rhoqo, ukudakumba kwentengiso.

Okwesibini ubuthathaka bemakethe ye-polypropylene yexesha elizayo, imfuno ebuthakathaka ye-polypropylene, i-powder / propylene isasazeka incinci, isiqalo sonke somsebenzi sihlala siphantsi, thenga ukukhanya kwe-Hing.

Okwesithathu, eyona ndlela iphambili yeekhemikhali esezantsi ibuthathaka phakathi nenyanga, inzuzo iyancipha kakhulu, kwaye nelahleko, ezinye zezityalo eziphambili zivaliwe kwaye zingalunganga, zitsala imfuno yepropylene.

Okwesine, ukunikezelwa kwepropylene kuninzi, ngokukodwa kwisiqingatha sokuqala senyanga, ukugcinwa kweemarike zepropylene kulinganiselwe, kunye nokunyuka kwemithombo evela kumazwe angaphandle, uxinzelelo olukhuphisanayo jikelele.

Phakathi nasekupheleni kwenyanga, imakethi yepropylene yaphinda yanda kancinci, kwaye ezona zinto ziphambili ezixhasa amaxabiso aphezulu epropylene yayilicala lokubonelela kunye nenkxaso yengqondo yabavelisi.Embindini wenyanga, Hebei Haiwei ukuvalwa okwexeshana, Dongying indawo yokucokisa umntu ngamnye kunye nokukhanya isixhobo hydrocarbon isixhobo elifutshane stop, ukonyusa ingqondo yemarike;ukuphela kwenyanga yi-Qilu Petrochemical overhaul, North China, East China i-PDH yokuxhasa inkxaso yokuvala.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ingqondo yoshishino, ngenxa yokuba uxinzelelo lweendleko lwangoku lwepropylene alunciphisi, ngoko abavelisi baqinile ukuxhasa ixabiso, njengoko ipropylene ngokuthe ngcembe emva kokuba abavelisi bengaqinanga baya kuqhubeka bewa, kwaye babambe imarike. ukulinda kwaye ubone, umlambo osezantsi sisigaba sokuzaliswa okuphantsi.Ekupheleni kwe-29, intengiselwano eqhelekileyo e-Shandong yayiyi-7300-7320 yuan/toni, phantsi kwe-365 yuan/toni ukusuka kwinyanga ephelileyo, kwaye uluhlu lokuguquguquka kwexabiso e-Shandong lwaluyi-7150-7650 yuan/toni, kunye ne-amplitude ye-6.99% .

Uqoqosho oluphambili lwaseYurophu nase-United States luyaqhubeka nokunyusa izinga lenzala, kodwa akukho nkqubela phambili ibalulekileyo ekuthinteleni ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okwangoku, iimpawu zoxinzelelo lwezoqoqosho ziyanda, imbonakalo yoqoqosho lwehlabathi inamafu, uqoqosho luya kwandisa ngokuthe ngcembe uxinzelelo olubi. I-oyile ekrwada, amaxabiso e-oyile ekrwada abuye umva ukucinezela ingqondo yentengiso, kodwa i-propylene edibeneyo yokuwa, uxinzelelo lweendleko aluncitshiswa.Kwicala lokubonelela, kwelinye icala, sixhalabile malunga nokukhululwa kwamandla amatsha okuvelisa, i-Haiyi kunye ne-Tianhong kulindeleke ukuba ifakwe kwimveliso, kwaye ukunikezelwa kuya kuqhubeka nokunyuka.Kwicala lemfuno, ukusebenza kwengeniso esezantsi akukuhle, ngoko ke inqanaba lokuqala lilonke liyi-avareji, kwaye imarike ilumkile ukuthenga, ixabiso eliphezulu lokumelana nepropylene linamandla, uninzi lwemarike njengoko lunjalo, Kufuneka kuqwalaselwe ngokusondeleyo kwindlela yexesha elizayo lepolypropylene kunye neekhemikhali zotshintsho lwenzuzo esezantsi.Kulindeleke ukuba imarike yepropylene ngo-Agasti iya kuba phantsi koxinzelelo lonikezelo kunye nemfuno, kwaye umgangatho jikelele uya kudandatheka ngaphambi kokunyuka, kwaye iziko lexabiso lomxhuzulane liya kuhla kancinci ngoJulayi, kodwa ngenkxaso yecala leendleko, icala elisezantsi lisenokulinganiselwa.

Phenol

NgoJulayi ukuguquguquka kwemarike yephenol yasekhaya, amaxabiso ehla emva kokuphindaphinda ngokukhawuleza, umahluko wexabiso eliphezulu neliphantsi le-1,725 ​​yuan / ton.Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, uxinzelelo lwemarike ekuboneleleni nasekufuneni izinto ezisisiseko zonyuka, igesi yokuthenga ezantsi komlanjana ibuthathaka, ukungabikho kwenjongo yophando yokuxhasa amaxabiso thethwano lwemarike ngokuthe ngcembe yancipha.Kwangaxeshanye, ukwehla komothuko wexabiso lebenzene enyukayo, kwenza ukuba intengiso ye-bearish inyuke, ithathele ingqalelo ngakumbi, kwaye ukuhanjiswa kwefektri esezantsi akulunganga, injongo yokuthengwa kwezinto ekrwada ibuthathaka ngakumbi.Thenga ukunqongophala kwegesi ixesha elide, ukwenza uxinzelelo-icala lonikezelo luqhubeka lusanda, amaxabiso okuthunyelwa kwabarhwebi awela ngokukhawuleza ukuya phakathi enyangeni, ukwehla kwexabiso lemarike, amaxabiso e-East China kanye awela kwi-8300 yuan / ton.Nangona kunjalo, ngokuhla okugqithisileyo kwamaxabiso, abavelisi be-phenol ketone ilahleko enkulu, ezinye zezixhobo zokusebenza ziphantsi okanye zivaliwe, ziqhutywa yile nto, ingqondo yeshishini iqina kancinci, abanye abarhwebi kunye neefektri ezisezantsi ukuya ekuthengeni okuphantsi, okubangela ukuphindaphinda ngokukhawuleza kwamaxabiso. .Amaxabiso emarike aseMpuma China aphinde abuyela kwi-RMB 9,350-9,400/mt.Nangona ixabiso libuyele ngokukhawuleza, kodwa imeko yemfuno ebuthathaka esezantsi ayizange iphucule, kwaye ixabiso lothethathethwano lwemarike lisalawulwa yi-oscillation ebuthathaka kwinyanga ezayo.Ukususela nge-28 kaJulayi, ixabiso elixoxisanayo lemarike ye-phenol e-East China yayiyi-RMB 9,050-9,100 / ton, phantsi kwe-RMB 1,150 / ton ukususela ngoJuni 30.

Uluhlu lwamaxabiso emakethe ye-phenol yasekhaya kulindeleke ukuba lulungelelanise ngo-Agasti, emva kokuphindaphinda ukusuka kwi-plunge, nangona imfuno ephantsi yomlambo isenamandla, kodwa izinga lokuqala le-phenol ketone liye lancipha, ukubonelela kunye nokuchasana kwemfuno kuncitshisiwe.Kwaye izinto ezikrwada kunye ne-benzene ecocekileyo kunye nenkxaso yexabiso lepropylene ikhona, ngenxa yelahleko enkulu kwimveliso, amaxabiso ephenol ayaqhubeka nokuhla kwigumbi elincinci, kodwa icala lemfuno lihlala licinezela amaxabiso, amaxabiso alindeleke ukuba aqhubeke nohlengahlengiso olululuhlu ngo-Agasti.

I-acetone

Imakethi ye-acetone izinzile emva kokucwiliswa ngoJulayi, kwaye ekupheleni kwenyanga, amaxabiso kwimarike yaseMpuma China ayengaphantsi kunokuphela kwenyanga edlulileyo ngetoni ye-450 yuan / ton ukuya kwi-4,850 yuan / ton.Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, ukuhla kwe-oyile ekrwada kumazwe ngamazwe, ukwehla ngokubanzi kwemveliso, ibenzene ecocekileyo iqhubekile nokuwa, ukuhla kwenkxaso yeendleko, ukuzithemba kwabanini bamasheya kuye kwakhululeka, ukuthenga ngononophelo, ukulinda amaxabiso aphantsi. ukuthengwa, ukongeza kwiimveliso ezisezantsi nazo zathamba, abathengisi kwafuneka benze iimvumelwano ekuthunyelweni, isiqingatha sokuqala se-acetone port inventory yanda, ukuhla ngokubanzi kwi-phenol kunye ne-ketone industry, amaxabiso amashishini ehla, ngelixa imfuno esezantsi ayizange iphucule. , injongo yokuthenga i-flat, abarhwebi kwafuneka benze iimvumelwano Kwisiqingatha sesibini se-inventory ye-port yehlile, ukuzimisela komntu osomashishini ukuba aphantsi akunamandla, kunye neZhejiang Petrochemical i-650,000 tons / ngonyaka isityalo se-phenol ketone siyeke ngokungalindelekanga, oosomashishini kulindeleke ukuba banciphise. ukubonelela, injongo yexabiso, ngenxa yeendleko eziphezulu zeshishini, kunye namaxabiso emarike kwicala eliphantsi, imarike iphinde yanda ngokuthe ngcembe, nangona imfuno esezantsi yomlambo ayininzi, kodwa ukulandelwa okungahambiyo, imarike ithathele phezulu, intengiselwano ubukhulu becala yimfuno nje.

Imakethi ye-acetone kulindeleke ukuba ishukume ngo-Agasti, ukunyuka kulula ukuwa, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical iseti ye-phenol ketone yokupaka, i-Huizhou Zhongxin phenol ketone yokupaka, i-Yangzhou Shanyou phenol ketone plant iceba ukuyilungisa kwangaphambili, i-Bluestar Harbin phenol ketone plant iceba ukuqala ngo i-5th overhaul, echatshazelwa yilahleko yemveliso, iinkampani ezininzi zinezicwangciso zokulungisa, ukunikezelwa kwekhaya kuya kuncitshiswa kakhulu, ukunyusa imvakalelo yemarike, kodwa imfuno esezantsi yokuphucula ubunzima, i-atmospheric efutshane kunye nexesha elide, elibanzi Ukubona, imarike ye-acetone ilindelwe. ukuqhubeka nokuzinza ngo-Agasti, musa ukukhupha ithuba lokuphindaphinda okuncinci.

Bisphenol A

NgoJulayi, imakethi yasekhaya ye-bisphenol A yawa kuqala kwaye yavuka.Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, i-phenol ketone ekrwada yathamba ngakumbi, i-epoxy resin esezantsi kunye ne-PC imakethi iqhubekile isiya ezantsi, imfuno yezinto ezikrwada ibisoloko idodobala, intengiso ye-bisphenol A ibingenankxaso ilungileyo, njengoko ixabiso elikhoyo i-bisphenol A ibe phantsi kweendleko, ngoko ke iifektri ezininzi zokunciphisa ukusebenza kakubi okanye ukupaka, ngokukodwa ukutya kwe-inventory, ukuvulwa ngokubanzi ukugcina kufuphi ne-70%, amaxabiso emarike ehla kancinane.Embindini wenyanga, imarike yatsala kancinane, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical yabiza kabini, imarike yanyuswa kancinane, kodwa uguquko lwexabiso alukho lukhulu, i-epoxy resin esezantsi kunye ne-PC yemarike isaqhuba buthathaka ngokwentelekiso, umthamo wemarike kunzima ukuwenza. ukuxhasa ukusekwa kwenkxaso efanelekileyo kwimarike ye-bisphenol A.Kwaye izinto eziluhlaza phenol kunye ne-acetone zawa kakhulu.Ke ngoko, imarike okwethutyana akukho nkxaso ilungileyo, ixhomekeke ekuzalweni kwakhona kwaye ayinakuzisa ukunyuka okwaneleyo kwimarike.Imarike yexesha elifutshane yokulinda-nokubona okanye umsebenzi oscillating.Ekupheleni kwenyanga, inqanaba lemathiriyeli ekrwada liyinkxaso elungileyo yokugcinwa kwefektri engaphezulu, ukuqhuba izinto ezikrwada phezulu, kodwa ikhonkco loshishino lwe-epichlorohydrin kunye ne-epoxy resin ayichatshazelwa yiyo, ukuqhubeka kohlengahlengiso oluya ezantsi, ngaloo ndlela kunciphisa uhlengahlengiso. indawo ephezulu yebisphenol A.Ngexesha elifutshane, i-bisphenol A ukudibanisa okanye ukusebenza obuthathaka.Ukusukela nge-29 kaJulayi, i-East China ye-bisphenol yothethwano lwereferensi yentengiso kwi-11,900-12,000 yuan / ton, xa kuthelekiswa nokuphela kwenyanga edlulileyo 13,000-13,100 yuan / itoni yexabiso ekuxoxiswene ngalo lilonke phantsi 1,100 yuan / ton.

Imarike yasekhaya ye-BPA kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokushukuma ngo-Agasti.Izixhobo eziphindwe kabini zephenol kunye nenkxaso yeacetone zisafumaneka, zidibene nokuncipha kancinci kobhubhane, imfuno esezantsi kulindeleke ukuba iphinde ibuyele, inika inkxaso ye-bisphenol A, kodwa unikezelo lwentengiso lwangoku luninzi kakhulu, kukho isixa esithile. yokuchasana nokuthunyelwa kwabagcini bamasheya, imarike kunokwenzeka ukuba iguquguquke ngokubanzi, ingqalelo engakumbi ekuboneleleni nasekufuneni utshintsho.

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