NgoJulayi phenol ketone ishishini lemarike yemveliso ibuthathaka ngokubanzi. Umjelo onyukayo wezinto ezikrwada ezicocekileyo zebenzene jikelele, inventory esulungekileyo yebenzene yokugcina umgangatho ophantsi, kodwa ioyile ekrwada kunye nokutshintshiselana ngebenzene esulungekileyo yangaphandle phezulu nasezantsi, imvakalelo yoxinzelelo lwexabiso esezantsi ayipheli, i-4.41 yepesenti yeepesenti yokuhla ukukhokela, ixabiso lephenol kunye nenkxaso ye-acetone buthathaka. Imakethi ye-phenol iguquguquka kakhulu, kunye namaxabiso aphindeka ngokukhawuleza emva kokuhla, impembelelo yobonelelo kunye nezidingo ezisisiseko ziye zaqina, kwaye imeko yemfuno ebuthathaka esezantsi kunzima ukuyiphucula. Ngexesha elifanayo, ukusebenza kwezantsi kubuthathaka, ukuhla kuyahluka. I-Bisphenol A unikezelo kunye nemfuno isoloko ikwimeko yomdlalo, inkxaso yemalike ekrwada ibuthathaka, ngokungabikho kwenkxaso elungileyo, amaxabiso e-bisphenol A abuthathaka oscillation, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lenyanga lehla nge-18.45%, libekwe kwindawo yokuqala kwi-phenol ketone industry yehla.

Julayi phenone industry chain up and down analysis

Ukongeza, ukusuka kuJulayi phenol ketone industry chain nyanga nenyanga avareji amanani chain amanani, ukwehla kwemveliso nganye ikakhulu kugxininiswe 5% -15%; Ukongezelela, ukuhla okuphawulekayo xa i-bisphenol A, ixabiso le-avareji yenyanga ye-18.45% ngaphantsi kweringi.

Phenolic ketone industry chain uhlalutyo lweemveliso eziphambili

Ibenzene ecocekileyo

NgoJulayi, imarike yasekhaya esulungekileyo yebenzene iyonke yindlela yokuhla, isiqingatha sokuqala sokuwa kwe-oyile ekrwada, i-benzene esulungekileyo yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle iyancipha ngokubanzi, imarike yangaphandle yokungabikho kwenkxaso kwimarike, i-port ye-benzene ecocekileyo ihlala iphantsi, kodwa imvakalelo yoxinzelelo ezantsi, imarike ye-benzene yase-East China ecocekileyo phantsi kabukhali; kwisiqingatha sesibini seoli ekrwada kunye ne-benzone ecocekileyo yangaphandle ibambe iqinile phezulu, imarike yengqondo iphuculwe, i-port ye-benzene inventory iyaqhubeka nokuhla, i-East China ecocekileyo ye-benzene market negotiation wide pull up, imarike Uthethathethwano wenyuka waya kwi-9600-9650 yuan/ton, kodwa njengoko ukuphela kwenyanga kusondela, i-East China yabuyela kwi-80yu ye-8 toni ngokukhawuleza. Nangona kunjalo, ukuguquguquka eMantla eTshayina kulinganiselwe, kwaye umsinga osezantsi ufuna nje ukuthenga, umahluko wommandla wentengiso ukhona. Ukusukela nge-29 kaJulayi, ireferensi yothethathethwano lwemarike yebenzene esulungekileyo yase-China 8850-8900 yuan / ton, unikezelo lwemalike yaseMntla China nge-8900-8950 yuan / ton, ezantsi umlambo onenjongo yokuthenga enye nge-8800-8850 yuan / ton delivery.

Imarike ye-benzene ecocekileyo kulindeleke ukuba iqale ngo-Agasti, indawo yokuguquguquka ilinganiselwe. Ixabiso lokungeniswa kwebenzene elimsulwa lijonge ezantsi, ukunqongophala kwenkxaso kwimarike yebenzene esulungekileyo, ngelixa ilahleko yetyathanga lemveliso esezantsi iqhubeleka, kunye nesicwangciso sokugcinwa kwesixhobo esisezantsi sigxininiswe ngokwentelekiso, ukuncitshiswa kwemfuno yemarike. Ngokubhekiselele kwi-benzene ecocekileyo, uluhlu lwezibuko lwebenzene ecocekileyo luhlala luphantsi, kodwa isicwangciso esitsha sokugcinwa kwebenzene ecocekileyo silinganiselwe, kwaye i-Shanghai Petrochemical, i-Qilu Petrochemical kunye nezinye izixhobo ziya kuphinda ziqalise enye emva kwenye, ukunikezelwa kwemarike ye-benzene ecocekileyo iye yabuyiselwa, izinto ezisisiseko ze-short short, kodwa imeko yamazwe ngamazwe iyatshintsha, i-oyile ekrwada inyuka kwaye ihla ngendlela engafanelekanga, i-fururu yentengiso ye-benzene yandisa uluhlu olude lomkhuhlane.

Ipropylene

NgoJulayi, unikezelo kunye nomdlalo wemfuno uye waqina, kwaye amaxabiso epropylene awothuka kakhulu. Ngenyanga, iziko lobunzima bexabiso lepropylene lawa ngokuthe ngcembe, iintsilelo eziphambili zilandelayo.

Okokuqala, i-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe igcine uluhlu olubanzi lwe-oscillations, kodwa iziko lexabiso lomxhuzulane liqhubekile nokuhla, ukuhla rhoqo, ukudakumba kwentengiso.

Okwesibini ubuthathaka bemakethe ye-polypropylene yexesha elizayo, imfuno ebuthakathaka ye-polypropylene, i-powder / propylene isasazeka incinci, isiqalo sonke somsebenzi sihlala siphantsi, thenga ukukhanya kwe-Hing.

Okwesithathu, eyona ndlela iphambili yeekhemikhali esezantsi ibuthathaka phakathi nenyanga, inzuzo iyancipha kakhulu, kwaye nelahleko, ezinye zezityalo eziphambili zivaliwe kwaye zingalunganga, zitsala imfuno yepropylene.

Okwesine, ukunikezelwa kwepropylene kuninzi, ngokukodwa kwisiqingatha sokuqala senyanga, ukugcinwa kweemarike zepropylene kulinganiselwe, kunye nokunyuka kwemithombo evela kumazwe angaphandle, uxinzelelo olukhuphisanayo jikelele.

Phakathi nasekupheleni kwenyanga, imakethi yepropylene iphinde yanda kancinci, kwaye ezona zinto ziphambili ezixhasa amaxabiso aphezulu epropylene yayilicala lokubonelela kunye nenkxaso yengqondo yabavelisi. Embindini wenyanga, Hebei Haiwei ukuvalwa okwexeshana, Dongying indawo yokucokisa umntu ngamnye kunye nokukhanya isixhobo hydrocarbon isixhobo elifutshane stop, ukonyusa ingqondo yemarike; ukuphela kwenyanga yi-Qilu Petrochemical overhaul, North China, East China i-PDH yokuxhasa inkxaso yokuvalwa. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ingqondo yoshishino, ngenxa yokuba uxinzelelo lweendleko lwangoku lwepropylene alunciphisi, ngoko ke abavelisi baqinile ukuxhasa ixabiso, njengoko ipropylene ngokuthe ngcembe emva kokuba abavelisi bengaqinanga baya kuqhubeka bewa, kwaye ubambe imarike ukuba ilinde kwaye ibone, i-downstream iyisigaba sokuzaliswa okuphantsi. Ekupheleni kwe-29, intengiselwano eqhelekileyo e-Shandong yayiyi-7300-7320 yuan/toni, phantsi kwe-365 yuan/toni ukusuka ekupheleni kwenyanga ephelileyo, kwaye uluhlu lokuguquguquka kwexabiso e-Shandong lwaluyi-7150-7650 yuan/toni, kunye ne-amplitude ye-6.99%.

Uqoqosho olukhulu eYurophu nase-United States luyaqhubeka nokunyusa inzala, kodwa akukho nkqubela phambili ibalulekileyo ekuthinteleni ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okwangoku, iimpawu zoxinzelelo lwezoqoqosho ziyanda, imbonakalo yoqoqosho lwehlabathi inamafu, uqoqosho luya kwandisa ngokuthe ngcembe uxinzelelo olubi kwi-oyile ekrwada, amaxabiso e-oyile ekrwada abuyele umva ukucinezela ingqondo yentengiso, kodwa ayincitshiswanga ipropylene. Kwicala lokubonelela, kwelinye icala, sixhalabile malunga nokukhululwa kwamandla amatsha okuvelisa, i-Haiyi kunye ne-Tianhong kulindeleke ukuba ifakwe kwimveliso, kwaye ukunikezelwa kuya kuqhubeka nokunyuka. Kwicala lemfuno, intsebenzo ephambili yenzuzo esezantsi ayilungile, ngoko ke inqanaba lokuqalisa lilonke liyi-avareji, kwaye imarike ilumkile ukuthenga, ixabiso eliphezulu lokumelana nepropylene linamandla, ininzi yemarike njengoko injalo, kusafuneka ihlawule ingqalelo kwi-polypropylene future trends kunye neekhemikhali zotshintsho lwenzuzo esezantsi. Kulindeleke ukuba imarike yepropylene ngo-Agasti iya kuba phantsi koxinzelelo oluvela kunikezelo kunye nemfuno, kwaye umgangatho jikelele uya kudandatheka ngaphambi kokunyuka, kwaye iziko lexabiso lobunzima liya kuncipha kancane ngoJulayi, kodwa ngenkxaso yecala leendleko, i-downside inokuthi ibe yincinci.

Phenol

NgoJulayi ukuguquguquka kwemarike yephenol yasekhaya, amaxabiso ehla emva kokuphindaphinda ngokukhawuleza, umahluko wexabiso eliphezulu neliphantsi le-1,725 ​​yuan / ton. Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, uxinzelelo lwemarike ekuboneleleni nasekufuneni izinto ezisisiseko zonyuka, igesi yokuthenga ezantsi komlanjana ibuthathaka, ukungabikho kwenjongo yophando yokuxhasa amaxabiso thethwano lwemarike ngokuthe ngcembe yancipha. Kwangaxeshanye, ukwehla komothuko wexabiso lebenzene enyukayo, kwenza ukuba intengiso ye-bearish inyuke, ithathele ingqalelo ngakumbi, kwaye ukuhanjiswa kwefektri esezantsi akulunganga, injongo yokuthengwa kwezinto ekrwada ibuthathaka ngakumbi. Thenga ukunqongophala kwegesi ixesha elide, ukwenza uxinzelelo-icala lonikezelo luqhubeka lusanda, amaxabiso okuthunyelwa kwabarhwebi awela ngokukhawuleza ukuya phakathi enyangeni, ukwehla kwexabiso lemarike, amaxabiso e-East China kanye awela kwi-8300 yuan / ton. Nangona kunjalo, ngokuhla okugqithisileyo kwamaxabiso, abavelisi be-phenol ketone ilahleko ezinzima, ezinye zezixhobo zokusebenza zilayishwa phantsi okanye zivaliwe, ziqhutywa yile nto, i-mindset ye-industry iqina kancinci, abanye abarhwebi kunye neefektri ezisezantsi ukuya ekuthengeni okuphantsi, okubangela ukuphindaphinda ngokukhawuleza kwamaxabiso. Amaxabiso emarike aseMpuma China aphinde abuyela kwi-RMB 9,350-9,400/mt. Nangona ixabiso libuyele ngokukhawuleza, kodwa imeko yemfuno ebuthathaka esezantsi ayizange iphucule, kwaye ixabiso lothethathethwano lwemarike lisalawulwa yi-oscillation ebuthathaka kwinyanga ezayo. Ukususela nge-28 kaJulayi, ixabiso elixoxisanayo lemarike ye-phenol e-East China yayiyi-RMB 9,050-9,100 / ton, phantsi kwe-RMB 1,150 / ton ukususela ngoJuni 30.

Uluhlu lwexabiso lemarike ye-phenol yasekhaya kulindeleke ukuba lulungelelanise ngo-Agasti, emva kokuphindaphinda ukusuka kwi-plunge, nangona imfuno ephantsi yomlambo isenamandla, kodwa izinga lokuqala le-phenol ketone liye lancipha, ukubonelela kunye nokuchasana kwemfuno kuncitshisiwe. Kwaye izinto ezikrwada kunye ne-benzene ecocekileyo kunye nenkxaso yexabiso lepropylene ikhona, ngenxa yelahleko enkulu kwimveliso, amaxabiso ephenol ayaqhubeka nokuhla kwigumbi elincinci, kodwa icala lemfuno lihlala licinezela amaxabiso, amaxabiso alindeleke ukuba aqhubeke nohlengahlengiso olululuhlu ngo-Agasti.

I-acetone

Imakethi ye-acetone izinzile emva kokucwiliswa ngoJulayi, kwaye ekupheleni kwenyanga, amaxabiso kwimarike yaseMpuma China ayengaphantsi kunokuphela kwenyanga edlulileyo ngetoni ye-450 yuan / ton ukuya kwi-4,850 yuan / ton. Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, ukuhla kweoli ekrwada kumazwe ngamazwe, ukwehla ngokubanzi kweempahla, ibenzene esulungekileyo iqhubekile nokuwa, ukuhla kwenkxaso yeendleko, ukuthembela kwabaninimasheya kuye kwakhululeka, ukuthengwa ngononophelo, ukulinda amaxabiso aphantsi ukuze kuthengwe, ukongeza kwiimveliso ezisezantsi nazo zathamba, abarhwebi kwafuneka ukuba benze umnyinyiva, ukwehla kwexabiso lentengiso kwisiqingatha senqanawa. i-phenol kunye ne-ketone industry, amaxabiso amashishini aphantsi, ngelixa imfuno esezantsi ayizange iphucule, injongo yokuthenga i-flat, abarhwebi kwafuneka benze i-concessions Kwisiqingatha sesibini se-inventory ye-port yehlile, ukuzimisela kosomashishini ukukhupha ngaphandle akunamandla, kunye ne-Zhejiang Petrochemical i-650.000 yeetoni / unyaka we-phenol ketone ukumisa, ukubonelela ngexabiso elilindelekileyo ngenxa yexabiso elilindelekileyo, ukubonelela ngexabiso elilindelekileyo. yeshishini, kunye namaxabiso emarike kwicala eliphantsi, imarike iphinde yanda ngokuthe ngcembe, nangona imfuno esezantsi yomlambo ayininzi, kodwa ulandelelwano lokwenziwayo, imarike ithathele phezulu, intengiselwano ubukhulu becala yimfuno nje.

Imarike ye-acetone kulindeleke ukuba ishukume ngo-Agasti, kulula ukunyuka kunzima ukuwa, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical isethi ye-phenol ketone yokupaka, i-Huizhou Zhongxin phenol ketone yokupaka, i-Yangzhou Shanyou phenol ketone plant iceba ukuguqula kwangaphambili, i-Bluestar Harbin phenol ketone plant iceba ukuqala kwi-5th overhaul, izicwangciso ezininzi zentengiso, ezichatshazelwa kakhulu yimveliso ye-boohasses. imvakalelo, kodwa imfuno esezantsi yokuphucula ubunzima, i-atmospheric short and long stalemate, comprehensive Ukubona, imarike ye-acetone ilindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokuzinza ngo-Agasti, musa ukukhupha ithuba lokuphindaphinda okuncinci.

Bisphenol A

NgoJulayi, imakethi yasekhaya ye-bisphenol A yawa kuqala kwaye yavuka. Ekuqaleni kwenyanga, i-phenol ketone ekrwada yathamba ngakumbi, i-epoxy resin esezantsi kunye ne-PC imakethi iqhubekile isiya ezantsi, imfuno yezinto ezikrwada ibisoloko idodobalisa, intengiso ye-bisphenol A ibingenankxaso ilungileyo, njengoko ixabiso elikhoyo le-bisphenol A beliphantsi kweendleko, ngoko ke uninzi lweefektri zokunciphisa ukusebenza okungalunganga okanye ukupaka kwindawo yokupaka, kufutshane nokuvulwa kwe-7% wawa kancinci. Embindini wenyanga, imarike yatsalwa kancinci, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical ibiphinda kabini, imarike inyuswe kancinci, kodwa utshintsho lwexabiso alukho likhulu, i-epoxy resin esezantsi kunye ne-PC yentengiso isaqhuba buthathaka ngokwentelekiso, umthamo wentengiso kunzima ukuxhasa ukusekwa kwenkxaso entle kwimarike ye-bisphenol A. Kwaye izinto eziluhlaza phenol kunye ne-acetone zawa kakhulu. Ke ngoko, imarike okwethutyana akukho nkxaso ilungileyo, ixhomekeke ekuzalweni kwakhona kwaye ayinakuzisa ukunyuka okwaneleyo kwimarike. Imarike yexesha elifutshane yokulinda-nokubona okanye umsebenzi oscillating. Ekupheleni kwenyanga, inqanaba lemathiriyeli ekrwada liyinkxaso elungileyo yokugcinwa kwefektri eninzi, ukuqhuba izinto eziluhlaza phezulu, kodwa ikhonkco loshishino lwe-epichlorohydrin kunye ne-epoxy resin ayichatshazelwa yiyo, ukuqhubela phambili kohlengahlengiso oluhlayo, ngaloo ndlela kunciphisa indawo esecaleni ye-bisphenol A. Ngexesha elifutshane, i-bisphenol A ukudibanisa okanye ukusebenza obuthathaka. Ukusukela nge-29 kaJulayi, i-East China ye-bisphenol yothethwano lwereferensi yentengiso kwi-11,900-12,000 yuan / ton, xa kuthelekiswa nokuphela kwenyanga edlulileyo 13,000-13,100 yuan / itoni yexabiso ekuxoxiswene ngalo lilonke phantsi 1,100 yuan / ton.

Imarike yasekhaya ye-BPA kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokushukuma ngo-Agasti. Izixhobo eziphindwe kabini zephenol kunye nenkxaso yeacetone isekhona, idityaniswa nokuncitshiswa kancinci kobhubhane, imfuno esezantsi kulindeleke ukuba iphinde ibuyele, inika inkxaso ye-bisphenol A, kodwa unikezelo lwemarike lwangoku luninzi kakhulu, kukho inani elithile lokuchasa ukuthunyelwa kwabagcini bempahla, intengiso inokwenzeka ukuba iguquguquke ukuze inike ingqalelo kakhulu kwaye itshintshe.

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