Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, imakethi ye-isopropanol iyonke yayilawulwa yizothuso ezisezantsi.Ukuthatha imarike yeJiangsu njengomzekelo, ixabiso lemarike eliphakathi kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka laliyi-7343 yuan / ton, ukuya kwi-0.62% ngenyanga ngenyanga kunye ne-11.17% ngonyaka.Phakathi kwabo, ixabiso eliphezulu laliyi-8000 yuan / ton, elibonakala phakathi kuka-Matshi, ixabiso eliphantsi kakhulu laliyi-7000 yuan / ton, kwaye yabonakala kwindawo engezantsi ka-Aprili.Ukwahlukana kwexabiso phakathi kwesiphelo esiphezulu kunye nesiphelo esisezantsi sasiyi-yuan eyi-1000 / ton, kunye ne-amplitude ye-14.29%.
Ikhefu lokuguquguquka kwe-amplitude lilinganiselwe

Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, imakethi ye-isopropanol iya kubonisa ngokusisiseko umkhwa wokunyuka kokuqala kwaye emva koko ukwehla, kodwa indawo yokuguquguquka ilinganiselwe.Ukusukela ngoJanuwari ukuya phakathi kuMatshi, imakethi ye-isopropanol yenyuka ngokothuka.Ekuqaleni koMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo, umsebenzi wokurhweba kwimarike wehla ngokuthe ngcembe, imiyalelo yokurhweba yayiyininzi yokulinda kwaye ibone, kwaye ixabiso lemarike ngokusisiseko laliguquguquka phakathi kwe-7050-7250 yuan/ton;Emva kokubuya kuMthendeleko we-Spring, i-acetone ye-acetone kunye ne-propylene market yanyuka yaya kumanqanaba ahlukeneyo, iqhuba umdlandla wezityalo ze-isopropanol ukwandisa.Ingqwalasela yeengxoxo zentengiso ye-isopropanol yasekhaya ngokukhawuleza yanyuka yaya kwi-7500-7550 yuan / ton, kodwa imarike ngokuthe ngcembe yabuyela kwi-7250-7300 yuan / ton ngenxa yokubuyiswa kobuvila kwemfuno yokugcina;Ngo-Matshi, imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle yayinamandla.Ezinye izityalo ze-isopropanol zathunyelwa ngaphandle kwi-port, kwaye ixabiso eliphambili le-WTI yeoli ekrwada ngokukhawuleza yadlula i-$ 120 / umgqomo.Ukunikezelwa kwezityalo ze-isopropanol kunye neemarike zaqhubeka zikhula.Ngaphantsi kokuthenga kwengqondo ezantsi, injongo yokuthenga yanda.Phakathi kuka-Matshi, imarike yenyuka ukuya kwinqanaba eliphezulu le-7900-8000 yuan / ton.Ukususela ngoMatshi ukuya ekupheleni kuka-Epreli, imarike ye-isopropanol yaqhubeka iyancipha.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, iyunithi ye-isopropanol ye-Ningbo Juhua yaphuhliswa ngempumelelo kwaye yathunyelwa ngaphandle ngo-Matshi, kwaye i-market supply kunye ne-bango balance yaphulwa kwakhona.Kwelinye icala, ngo-Epreli, umthamo wothutho lolungiselelo lommandla wehla, nto leyo eyakhokelela ekucuthekeni okuthe chu kwemfuno yorhwebo lwangaphakathi.Kufuphi ngo-Apreli, ixabiso lemarike libuyele kwinqanaba eliphantsi le-7000-7100 yuan / ton.Ukususela ngoMeyi ukuya kuJuni, imakethi ye-isopropanol yayilawulwa luluhlu oluncinci.Emva kokuhla okuqhubekayo kwexabiso ngo-Epreli, abanye basekhayaisopropyl utywalaiiyunithi zavalwa ukuze zilungiswe, kwaye ixabiso lemarike laqiniswa, kodwa imfuno yangaphakathi yayithe tyaba.Emva kokugqitywa kokuthengwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle, ixabiso lemarike libonise ukonyuka okunganelanga.Ngeli nqanaba, uluhlu lwentsebenzo yemarike yesiqhelo yayiyi-7200-7400 yuan/ton.
Ukunyuka kwendlela yokubonelela ngokugqibeleleyo kuyabonakala, kwaye imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle iphinda ibuyele

Ngokwemveliso yasekhaya: I-Ningbo Juhua ye-50000 t / iyunithi ye-isopropanol yaveliswa ngempumelelo kwaye yathunyelwa ngaphandle ngo-Matshi, kodwa ngelo xesha, i-Dongying Haike ye-50000 t / iyunithi ye-isopropanol iye yachithwa.Ngokwendlela yoLwazi lweZhuochuang, yasuswa kumandla okuvelisa i-isopropanol, okwenza ukuba umthamo wemveliso we-isopropanol wasekhaya uzinze kwi-1.158 yezigidi zeetoni.Ngokubhekiselele kwimveliso, imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka yayilungile, kwaye imveliso ibonise ukunyuka.Ngokwezibalo zeZhuochuang Ulwazi, kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022, imveliso ye-isopropanol yaseChina iya kuba malunga neetoni ezingama-255900, ukwanda kweetoni ezingama-60000 ngonyaka, kunye nezinga lokukhula kwe-30.63%.
Izinto ezisuka kwamanye amazwe: Ngenxa yokunyuka kobonelelo lwangaphakathi kunye nentsalela yobonelelo lwangaphakathi kunye nemfuno, umthamo wokungenisa elizweni ubonisa indlela ehlayo.Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuJuni ka-2022, ukuthengiswa kwe-isopropyl yotywala yaseTshayina malunga neetoni ze-19300, ukwehla konyaka-ngonyaka kweetoni ezingama-2200, okanye i-10.23%.
Ngokubhekiselele kuthunyelo kumazwe angaphandle: Okwangoku, uxinzelelo lonikezelo lwangaphakathi alwehli, kwaye ezinye iifektri zisaxhomekeke ekwehliseni imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle kuxinzelelo lwempahla.Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuJuni 2022, i-China yokuthunyelwa kwe-isopropanol iyonke iya kuba malunga neetoni ze-89300, ukwanda kweetoni ze-42100 okanye i-89.05% ngonyaka.
Ingeniso epheleleyo kunye nokwahlulwa kwesivuno senkqubo ezimbini

Ngokobalo lwethiyori yengeniso yengeniso ye-isopropanol, inzuzo enkulu yethiyori ye-acetone hydrogenation isopropanol inkqubo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022 iya kuba yi-603 yuan / ton, i-630 yuan / itoni ephezulu kunexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo, i-2333.33% ephezulu kune-2333.33% ixesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo;Inzuzo enkulu yethiyori yepropylene hydration isopropanol inkqubo yayiyi-120 yuan / ton, 1138 yuan / ton ephantsi kunelo xesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo, i-90.46% ephantsi kunelo xesha lonyaka ophelileyo.Ingabonwa kwitshathi yothelekiso yengeniso yengeniso yeenkqubo ezimbini ze-isopropanol ukuba ngo-2022, i-theoretical gross profit trend of the two isopropanol process iya kwahlulwa, i-theory gross profit level yenkqubo ye-acetone hydrogenation iya kuzinza, kwaye i-avareji yengeniso yenyanga ngokusisiseko iya kuguquguquka kuluhlu lwe-500-700 yuan/toni, kodwa inzuzo yethiyori yengeniso yepropylene hydration yakube iphulukene phantse ne-600 yuan/toni.Xa kuthelekiswa neenkqubo ezimbini, inzuzo yenkqubo ye-acetone hydrogenation isopropanol ingcono kunenkqubo yepropylene hydration.
Ukususela kwidatha yemveliso ye-isopropanol kunye nemfuno kwiminyaka yamuva nje, izinga lokukhula kweemfuno zasekhaya alizange lihambisane nesantya sokwandiswa kwamandla.Kwimeko yokugqithiswa kwexesha elide, inzuzo yethiyori yezityalo ze-isopropanol ibe yinto ephambili yokumisela inqanaba lokusebenza.Kwi-2022, inzuzo enkulu ye-acetone hydrogenation inkqubo ye-isopropanol iya kuqhubeka ingcono kune-propylene hydration, eyenza imveliso ye-acetone hydrogenation isopropanol isityalo esiphezulu kakhulu kuneso sepropylene hydration.Ngokutsho kwedatha yokubeka iliso, kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022, ukuveliswa kwe-isopropanol nge-acetone hydrogenation kuya kwenza i-80.73% yemveliso yelizwe lonke.
Gxininisa kwicala leendleko kunye nemfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka
Kwisiqingatha sesibini se-2022, ukusuka kumbono wokubonelela kunye nokufunwa kwezinto ezisisiseko, akukho yunithi entsha ye-isopropanol efakwe kwimarike ngoku.Umthamo we-isopropanol wasekhaya uya kuhlala kwi-1.158 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye imveliso yasekhaya isaza kuveliswa kakhulu yinkqubo ye-acetone hydrogenation.Ngokunyuka komngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi, imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-isopropanol iya kuba buthathaka.Ngelo xesha, imfuno ye-terminal yasekhaya iya kubuya ngokukhawuleza, okanye imeko "yexesha eliphakamileyo aliphumeleli" liya kwenzeka.Kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, uxinzelelo lokubonelela kunye nemfuno luya kuhlala lungatshintshi.Ngokombono weendleko, ngokuqwalasela ukuba ezinye izityalo ezintsha ze-phenol ketone ziya kufakwa ekusebenzeni kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, ukunikezelwa kweemarike ze-acetone kuya kuqhubeka kudlula imfuno, kunye nexabiso le-acetone njengoko izinto eziphezulu eziluhlaza ziya kuqhubeka. ukuguquguquka kwinqanaba eliphakathi elisezantsi;Kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, echatshazelwa ngumgaqo-nkqubo wokunyusa inzala ye-Federal Reserve kunye nomngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho eYurophu nase-United States, iziko lobunzima bamaxabiso e-oyile kumazwe ngamazwe linokunyuka lihle.Icala leendleko yeyona nto iphambili echaphazela amaxabiso epropylene.Amaxabiso emarike yepropylene kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka aya kuncipha xa kuthelekiswa nesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka.Ngelizwi, uxinzelelo lweendleko zamashishini e-isopropanol kwinkqubo ye-acetone hydrogenation ayinkulu okwangoku, kwaye uxinzelelo lweendleko zamashishini e-isopropanol kwinkqubo ye-propylene hydration kulindeleke ukuba lula, kodwa kwangaxeshanye, ngenxa yokungabikho kokusebenzayo. inkxaso kwiindleko, amandla okuphinda abuyele kwimarike ye-isopropanol nayo ayanelanga.Kulindeleke ukuba imarike ye-isopropanol iya kugcina iphethini yokutshatyalaliswa kwexesha kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, inikele ingqalelo kwixabiso le-acetone elinyukayo kunye nokutshintsha kwemfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle.

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