Umthamo wemveliso we-epoxy propane uphantse ube ziitoni ezizigidi ezili-10!

Kule minyaka mihlanu idlulileyo, izinga lokusetyenziswa kwamandla emveliso ye-epoxy propane e-China liye lahlala lingaphezulu kwama-80%.Nangona kunjalo, ukusukela ngo-2020, isantya sokuthunyelwa komthamo wemveliso siye sakhawuleza, nto leyo ekhokelele ekwehleni kokuxhomekeka kwemveliso kumazwe angaphandle.Kulindeleke ukuba kwixesha elizayo, kunye nokongezwa komthamo omtsha wemveliso e-China, i-epoxy propane iya kugqibezela ukutshintshwa kwezinto ezingaphandle kwaye inokufuna ukuthumela ngaphandle.

Ngokwedatha evela eLuft naseBloomberg, ukuya ekupheleni kuka-2022, amandla emveliso yehlabathi jikelele ye-epoxy propane amalunga ne-12.5 yezigidi zeetoni, ingakumbi kuMntla-mpuma we-Asiya, kuMntla Melika naseYurophu.Phakathi kwabo, umthamo wemveliso waseTshayina ufikelele kwi-4.84 yezigidi zeetoni, ebala malunga ne-40%, ibeka kuqala kwihlabathi.Kulindeleke ukuba phakathi kwe-2023 kunye ne-2025, umthamo omtsha wemveliso yehlabathi jikelele ye-epoxy propane iya kugxininiswa e-China, kunye nezinga lokukhula ngonyaka ngaphezu kwe-25%.Ekupheleni kuka-2025, umthamo wemveliso waseTshayina uya kuba kufutshane ne-10 lezigidi zeetoni, kunye nomthamo wemveliso wehlabathi ubalwa ngaphezulu kwe-40%.

Ngokwemfuno, ezantsi kwe-epoxy propane e-China isetyenziselwa ukuveliswa kwe-polyether polyols, ibalwa ngaphezu kwe-70%.Nangona kunjalo, iipolyether polyols ziye zangena kwimeko yobuninzi, ngoko ke imveliso eninzi kufuneka igaywe ngokuthunyelwa ngaphandle.Sifumene ulungelelwaniso oluphezulu phakathi kokuveliswa kwezithuthi zamandla amatsha, ukuthengiswa kwefenitshala kunye nomthamo wokuthumela ngaphandle, kunye nokunyuka okubonakalayo kwemfuno yepropylene oxide xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo.Ngo-Agasti, ukuthengiswa kweevenkile zefenitshala kunye nemveliso eyongezelelekileyo yezithuthi zamandla amatsha ziqhube kakuhle, ngelixa umthamo othe wathunyelwa ngaphandle wefenitshala uqhubekile nokuhla unyaka nonyaka.Ke ngoko, ukusebenza kakuhle kwefenitshala yemfuno yasekhaya kunye nezithuthi zamandla amatsha ziya kukhuthaza imfuno ye-epoxy propane kwixesha elifutshane.

Ukunyuka okubonakalayo kumandla okuvelisa i-styrene kunye nokhuphiswano oluqinisiweyo

Ishishini le-styrene e-China lingene kwinqanaba elivuthiweyo, kunye neqondo eliphezulu lokukhululwa kweemarike kwaye akukho zithintelo ezicacileyo zokungena kwishishini.Ukuhanjiswa kwamandla okuvelisa ikakhulu kuqulunqwe ngamashishini amakhulu afana neSinopec kunye nePetroChina, kunye namashishini abucala kunye namaphulo adibeneyo.Nge-26 kaSeptemba 2019, ikamva le-styrene ladweliswa ngokusemthethweni kwaye lathengiswa kwiDalian Commodity Exchange.

Njengekhonkco eliphambili kuluhlu lwamashishini anyukayo nasezantsi, i-styrene idlala indima ebalulekileyo ekuveliseni i-oyile ekrwada, amalahle, irabha, iiplastiki kunye nezinye iimveliso.Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, umthamo wemveliso we-styrene kunye nemveliso yaseTshayina ikhule ngokukhawuleza.Ngo-2022, umthamo wemveliso we-styrene e-China ufikelele kwi-17.37 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwanda kwe-3.09 yezigidi zeetoni xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka odlulileyo.Ukuba izixhobo ezicwangcisiweyo zingafakwa ekusebenzeni kwishedyuli, umthamo opheleleyo wokuvelisa uya kufikelela kwi-21.67 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwanda kweetoni ze-4.3 yezigidi.

Phakathi kwe-2020 kunye ne-2022, imveliso ye-styrene yaseChina yafikelela kwi-10.07 yezigidi zeetoni, i-12.03 yezigidi zeetoni, kunye ne-13.88 yezigidi zeetoni, ngokulandelanayo;Umthamo wokungenisa elizweni zizigidi ezi-2.83 zeetoni, i-1.69 yezigidi zeetoni, kunye ne-1.14 yezigidi zeetoni ngokulandelelanayo;Umthamo wokuthumela ngaphandle yi-27000 yeetoni, iitoni ze-235000, kunye ne-563000 yeetoni, ngokulandelanayo.Ngaphambi kwe-2022, i-China yayingumrhwebi we-styrene, kodwa izinga lokuzimela kwe-styrene e-China lifikelele kwi-96% ngo-2022. kwaye iTshayina iya kuba ngumthengisi we-styrene ngaphandle.

Ngokubhekiselele kusetyenziso olusezantsi, i-styrene isetyenziselwa ukuveliswa kweemveliso ezifana ne-PS, EPS, kunye ne-ABS.Phakathi kwabo, umlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa kwe-PS, i-EPS, kunye ne-ABS yi-24.6%, i-24.3%, kunye ne-21%, ngokulandelanayo.Nangona kunjalo, ukusetyenziswa kwexesha elide lamandla e-PS kunye ne-EPS akwanelanga, kwaye amandla amatsha anqongophele kwiminyaka yamuva.Ngokwahlukileyo koko, i-ABS ithe chu inyuka imfuno ngenxa yosasazo olugxininisiweyo lwemveliso kunye nenzuzo enkulu yoshishino.Ngo-2022, umthamo wemveliso ye-ABS yasekhaya yi-5.57 yezigidi zeetoni.Kwiminyaka elandelayo, i-ABS yasekhaya iceba ukwandisa umthamo wemveliso malunga ne-5.16 yezigidi zeetoni ngonyaka, ukufikelela kumthamo wemveliso we-9.36 yezigidi zeetoni ngonyaka.Ngokuveliswa kwezi zixhobo zitsha, kulindeleke ukuba umlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa kwe-ABS ekusetyenzisweni kwe-styrene esezantsi kuya kunyuka ngokuthe ngcembe kwixesha elizayo.Ukuba imveliso esezantsi ecetywayo inokufezekiswa ngempumelelo, kulindeleke ukuba i-ABS igqithise i-EPS njengeyona mveliso inkulu ezantsi kwe-styrene ngo-2024 okanye ngo-2025.

Nangona kunjalo, imarike ye-EPS yasekhaya ijongene nemeko yokugqithiswa, kunye neempawu ezicacileyo zokuthengisa zengingqi.Ukuchatshazelwa yi-COVID-19, ulawulo lukarhulumente lwemarike yezindlu nezindlu, ukurhoxiswa kwezahlulo zomgaqo-nkqubo kwimakethi yezixhobo zombane zasekhaya, kunye nemeko entsonkothileyo yokungenisa nokuthumela ngaphandle, imfuno yemarike ye-EPS iphantsi koxinzelelo.Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yobutyebi obuninzi be-styrene kunye nemfuno exhaphakileyo yeempahla ezahlukeneyo zomgangatho, kunye nezithintelo zokungena kwishishini elisezantsi, umthamo omtsha wemveliso ye-EPS uyaqhubeka ukusungulwa.Nangona kunjalo, ngokuchasene nemeko yobunzima bokulinganisa ukukhula kweemfuno ezisezantsi, into "yokuvela" kwishishini lasekhaya le-EPS inokuqhubeka nokukhula.

Ngokuphathelele kwimarike ye-PS, nangona umthamo wemveliso ufikelele kwi-7.24 yezigidi zeetoni, kwiminyaka ezayo, i-PS iceba ukongeza malunga ne-2.41 yezigidi zeetoni / ngonyaka womthamo omtsha wemveliso, ukufikelela kumthamo wemveliso ye-9.65 yezigidi zeetoni / ngonyaka.Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokusebenza kakubi kwe-PS, kulindeleke ukuba amandla amaninzi okuvelisa amatsha kuya kuba nzima ukuqalisa imveliso ngexesha elifanelekileyo, kwaye ukusetyenziswa okucothayo okusezantsi kuya kwandisa uxinzelelo lokugqithiswa.

Ngokuphathelele ukuhamba kwezorhwebo, kwixesha elidlulileyo, i-styrene evela e-United States, kuMbindi Mpuma, iYurophu, kunye ne-Asia-mpuma ye-Asia yaya kuMntla-mpuma we-Asia, i-Indiya, kunye noMzantsi Melika.Nangona kunjalo, ngo-2022, kukho utshintsho oluthile kuhambo lwezorhwebo, kunye nezona ndawo zithunyelwa ngaphandle ziye zaba nguMbindi Mpuma, uMntla Melika, kunye noMzantsi-mpuma we-Asia, ngelixa iindawo eziphambili zokungena yayikuMntla-mpuma we-Asia, i-Indiya, iYurophu kunye noMzantsi Melika.Ummandla woMbindi Mpuma ngowona uthumela ngaphandle iimveliso zestyrene ehlabathini, kunye nezalathiso zayo eziphambili zokuthumela ngaphandle kuquka iYurophu, uMntla-mpuma Asia, kunye neIndiya.UMntla Melika lilizwe lesibini ngobukhulu kumazwe angaphandle kweemveliso zestyrene, uninzi lwemveliso yase-US ethunyelwa eMexico naseMzantsi Melika, ngelixa ezinye zithunyelwa ngenqanawa e-Asia naseYurophu.Amazwe akuMzantsi-mpuma we-Asia anjengeSingapore, i-Indonesia, neMalaysia nawo athumela iimveliso zestyrene, ngakumbi kuMntla-mpuma weAsia, kuMzantsi Asia, naseIndiya.Umntla-mpuma we-Asia lelona lizwe lingenisa isityrene esikhulu kwihlabathi, kwaye iTshayina kunye noMzantsi Korea ingawona mazwe angenisayo.Nangona kunjalo, kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo, kunye nokwanda okuqhubekayo kwesantya esiphezulu somthamo wemveliso ye-styrene yaseTshayina kunye notshintsho olukhulu kumahluko wamaxabiso ommandla wamazwe ngamazwe, ukukhula kwe-China kumazwe angaphandle kuye kwanda kakhulu, amathuba okubuyisela umva i-arbitrage kuMzantsi Korea, iChina iye yanda. , kunye nokuthuthwa kolwandle kuye kwanda ukuya eYurophu, eTürkiye nakwezinye iindawo.Nangona kukho imfuno ephezulu ye-styrene kwiimarike zaseMzantsi Asia kunye ne-Indian, okwangoku zibalulekile abarhwebi beemveliso ze-styrene ngenxa yokungabikho kwezixhobo ze-ethylene kunye nezityalo ezincinci ze-styrene.

Kwixesha elizayo, ishishini le-styrene lase-China liza kukhuphisana nokuthengwa kwempahla evela eMzantsi Korea, eJapan nakwamanye amazwe kwimarike yasekhaya, kwaye emva koko iqalise ukukhuphisana neminye imithombo yeempahla kwiimarike ezingaphandle kwe-Chinese Mainland.Oku kuya kukhokelela kulwabiwo ngokutsha kwimarike yehlabathi.