Kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022, imarike ye-ethylene glycol yasekhaya iya kuguquguquka kumdlalo weendleko eziphezulu kunye nemfuno ephantsi.Kwimeko yongquzulwano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine, ixabiso leoli ekrwada laqhubeka linyuka kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, nto leyo ekhokelela ekunyukeni kwexabiso lezinto ezikrwada kunye nokwandiswa komsantsa phakathi kwe-naphtha ne-ethylene glycol.
Nangona ziphantsi koxinzelelo lweendleko, uninzi lweefektri ze-ethylene glycol ziye zawenza lula umthwalo wazo, ukuqhubeka kokuxhaphaka kobhubhani we-COVID-19 kukhokelele ekucuthekeni okubalulekileyo kwemfuno ye-terminal, ubuthathaka obuqhubekayo kwimfuno ye-ethylene glycol, ukuqhubeka nokuqokelelwa kwempahla yezibuko, kunye nolutsha olutsha. unyaka phezulu.Ixabiso le-ethylene glycol liye laguquguquka kumdlalo phakathi koxinzelelo lweendleko kunye nonikezelo olubuthathaka kunye nemfuno, kwaye ngokusisiseko iguquguquka phakathi kwe-4500-5800 yuan / toni kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka.Ngokuqhubekeka kokuvutshelwa kwengxaki yokudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi, ukuhla kwamaxabiso exesha elizayo le-oli ekrwada kwehlile, kwaye nenkxaso yecala leendleko iye yaba buthathaka.Nangona kunjalo, imfuno ye-polyester esezantsi iqhubekile ukuba buthathaka.Ngoxinzelelo lwemali, imarike ye-ethylene glycol yandisa ukuhla kwayo kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, kwaye ixabiso liphindaphinda ngokuphindaphindiweyo kwi-lows entsha ngonyaka.Ekuqaleni kukaNovemba ka-2022, ixabiso eliphantsi lawela kwi-3740 yuan / ton.
Ukuphehlelelwa okuthe gqolo komthamo omtsha wemveliso kunye nonikezelo lwangaphakathi olongezelekayo
Ukusukela ngo-2020, ishishini laseTshayina le-ethylene glycol lingene kumjikelo omtsha wokwandisa imveliso.Izixhobo ezidityanisiweyo zinamandla amakhulu okukhula kwe-ethylene glycol umthamo wokuvelisa.Nangona kunjalo, kwi-2022, ukuveliswa kweeyunithi ezidibeneyo kuya kumiswa kakhulu, kwaye kuphela i-Zhenhai Petrochemical Phase II kunye ne-Zhejiang Petrochemical Unit 3 iya kusetyenziswa.Ukukhula kwamandla emveliso ngo-2022 kuya kuvela ikakhulu kwizityalo zamalahle.
Ekupheleni kukaNovemba 2022, umthamo wemveliso ye-ethylene glycol yaseTshayina ifikelele kwi-24.585 yezigidi zeetoni, ukunyuka konyaka-ngonyaka we-27%, kubandakanywa malunga ne-3.7 yezigidi zeetoni zomthamo omtsha wokuvelisa amalahle.
Ngokutsho kwedatha yokubeka iliso kwimarike yoMphathiswa wezoRhwebo, ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuNovemba 2022, ixabiso lemihla ngemihla lamalahle ombane kulo lonke ilizwe liya kuhlala liphakathi kwe-891-1016 yuan / ton.Ixabiso lamalahle litshintshile kakhulu kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, kwaye umkhwa wawusicaba kwisiqingatha sesibini.
Imingcipheko ye-Geopolitical, i-COVID-19 kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo wemali we-Federal Reserve ulawula impembelelo enamandla ye-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe ngo-2022. Ukuchatshazelwa yindlela ethambileyo yamaxabiso amalahle, izibonelelo zoqoqosho zamalahle glycol kufuneka ziphuculwe, kodwa eyona meko. akanathemba.Ngenxa yemfuno ebuthathaka kunye neempembelelo zemveliso ye-intanethi ye-intanethi ye-capacity entsha kulo nyaka, izinga lokusebenza kwezityalo ze-coal glycol zasekhaya zawela malunga ne-30% kwikota yesithathu, kwaye umthwalo wonyaka wokusebenza kunye nenzuzo yayingaphantsi kakhulu kunokulindela imarike.
Isiphumo esipheleleyo samanye amandla okuvelisa amalahle angeniswe kwisiqingatha sesibini sika-2022 silinganiselwe.Ngaphantsi kwesiseko sokusebenza okuzinzileyo, uxinzelelo kwicala lokubonelela ngamalahle lunokuthi lwenziwe nzulu ngakumbi ngo-2023.
Ukongeza, ezininzi iiyunithi ezintsha ze-ethylene glycol zicetywa ukuba zisetyenziswe kwi-2023, kwaye kuqikelelwa ukuba izinga lokukhula kwe-ethylene glycol umthamo wokuvelisa e-China liya kuhlala lijikeleze i-20% ngo-2023.

Amaziko emali ngamazwe aqikelela ukuba ixabiso leoli ekrwada kumazwe ngamazwe liya kuhlala kwinqanaba eliphezulu ngo-2023, uxinzelelo lweendleko eziphezulu luya kuhlala lukhona, kwaye umthwalo wokuqala we-ethylene glycol unokuba nzima ukunyuswa, okuya kunciphisa ukukhula konikezelo lwasekhaya. ukusa kumlinganiselo othile.
Kunzima ukunyusa umthamo wokungenisa, kunye nokuxhomekeka kwamanye amazwe okanye ukwehla ngakumbi
Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuNovemba ka-2022, umthamo wokungenisa i-ethylene glycol waseTshayina uya kuba yi-6.96 yezigidi zeetoni, i-10% ngaphantsi kwexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo.
Jonga ngononophelo idatha yokungenisa.Ngaphandle kweSaudi Arabia, Canada kunye ne-United States, umthamo wokungenisa kwamanye amazwe wehlile.Umthamo wokungenisa waseTaiwan,

ISingapore nezinye iindawo zehla kakhulu.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuhla kokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe kungenxa yoxinzelelo lweendleko, kwaye uninzi lwezixhobo zaqala ukuhla.Kwelinye icala, ngenxa yokuhla okuthe gqolo kwamaxabiso aseTshayina, umdla wababoneleli wokuthumela eTshayina wehle kakhulu.Okwesithathu, ngenxa yobuthathaka kwimarike yepolyester yaseTshayina, ukuqaliswa kwezixhobo kwehlile, kwaye imfuno yemathiriyeli ekrwada yaba buthathaka.
Ngo-2022, ukuxhomekeka kwe-China ekungeniswa kwe-ethylene glycol kuya kuncipha ukuya kwi-39.6%, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iyancipha ngakumbi ngo-2023.
Kuxelwe ukuba i-OPEC + inokuqhubeka nokunciphisa imveliso kamva, kwaye ukunikezelwa kwezinto eziluhlaza kuMbindi Mpuma kuya kuhlala kungonelanga.Ngaphantsi koxinzelelo lweendleko, ukwakhiwa kwezityalo ze-ethylene glycol zangaphandle, ngakumbi ezo zase-Asia, kunzima ukuphucula kakhulu.Ukongeza, ababoneleli basaza kunika ingqwalaselo ephambili kweminye imimandla.Kuthiwa abanye ababoneleli baya kunciphisa izivumelwano zabo nabathengi baseTshayina ngexesha lothethathethwano lwekhontrakthi ngo-2023.
Ngokubhekiselele kumthamo omtsha wemveliso, i-Indiya ne-Iran ziceba ukusungula imarike ekupheleni kuka-2022 nasekuqaleni kuka-2023. Umthamo wemveliso wase-Indiya usabonelelwa kakhulu ekuhlaleni, kwaye ngokukodwa kwezixhobo ze-Iran zokungeniswa e-China zisenokulinganiselwa.
Imfuno ebuthathaka eYurophu nase-United States inqanda amathuba okuthengisa ngaphandle
Ngokutsho kwedatha evela kwi-ICIS yonikezelo kunye ne-database yemfuno, ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuNovemba 2022, umthamo we-ethylene glycol wase-China uya kuba yi-38500 yeetoni, phantsi kwe-69% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo kunyaka odlulileyo.
Ukujonga ngokusondeleyo idatha yokuthumela ngaphandle, kwi-2022, i-China yandisa ukuthunyelwa kwayo e-Bangladesh, kwaye ngo-2021, ukuthunyelwa kweYurophu kunye neTürkiye, iindawo eziphambili zokuthumela ngaphandle, ziya kuncipha kakhulu.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngenxa yobuthathaka jikelele bemfuno yaphesheya, kwelinye icala, ngenxa yomthamo wothutho oqinileyo, imithwalo iphezulu.

Ngokwandiswa ngakumbi kwezixhobo zaseTshayina, kunyanzelekile ukuba kuphume ukuthenwa.Ngokucuthwa kwengxinano kunye nokwanda komthamo wezothutho, izinga lomthwalo lisenokuqhubeka lihle ngo-2023, eliya kuthi lincede imarike yokuthumela ngaphandle.
Nangona kunjalo, xa uqoqosho lwehlabathi lungena kumjikelo wokudodobala koqoqosho, imfuno yeYurophu ne-United States inokuba nzima ukuyiphucula kakhulu kwaye iqhubeke nokuthintela ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-ethylene glycol yaseTshayina.Abathengisi baseTshayina kufuneka bajonge amathuba okuthumela kwamanye amazwe kwezinye iindawo ezivelayo.
Izinga lokukhula kwemfuno lisezantsi kunokubonelela
Ngo-2022, umthamo omtsha we-polyester uya kuba malunga ne-4.55 yezigidi zeetoni, ngokukhula konyaka-ngonyaka malunga ne-7%, esalawulwa kukwandiswa kwamashishini e-polyester ehamba phambili.Kuxelwe ukuba izixhobo ezininzi ebezicwangciselwe ukufakwa kwimveliso kulo nyaka ziye zalibaziseka.
Imeko iyonke yemarike yepolyester ngo-2022 ayonelisi.Uqhambuko oluqhubekayo lobhubhane kunempembelelo ebalulekileyo kwimfuno yesiphelo.Imfuno ebuthathaka yasekhaya kunye nokuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kwenze isityalo sepolyester songanyelwa.Ukuqaliswa kweprojekthi kuphantsi kakhulu kunexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo.

Kwimeko yezoqoqosho yangoku, abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike abanalo ukuzithemba ekubuyiselweni kwemfuno.Ingaba umthamo omtsha wepolyester unokufakwa ekusebenzeni ngexesha yinto enkulu, ngakumbi kwizixhobo ezincinci.Ngo-2023, umthamo omtsha wepolyester unokuhlala kwi-4-5 yezigidi zeetoni / ngonyaka, kwaye izinga lokukhula kwamandla linokuhlala malunga ne-7%.

Chemwinyinkampani yokurhweba ngemichiza ekrwada e-China, eseShanghai Pudong Indawo eNtsha, enothungelwano lwamazibuko, izikhululo, izikhululo zeenqwelo moya kunye nothutho lukaloliwe, kunye neendawo zokugcina imichiza kunye neekhemikhali ezinobungozi eShanghai, eGuangzhou, eJiangyin, eDalian naseNingbo Zhoushan, eTshayina. , egcina ngaphezu kweetoni ezingama-50,000 zemathiriyeli ekrwada unyaka wonke, kunye nobonelelo olwaneleyo, wamkelekile ukuba uthenge kwaye ubuze.i-imeyile ye-chemwin:service@skychemwin.comwhatsapp: 19117288062 Umnxeba: +86 4008620777 +86 19117288062