Ngexesha leholide yoSuku lukaMeyi, imarike ye-oyile ekrwada iyonke yawa, kunye nentengiso ye-oyile ekrwada yase-US iwela ngaphantsi kwe-65 yeedola ngomphanda, ngokuhla okunyukayo ukuya kuthi ga kwi-10 yeedola ngomphanda.Kwelinye icala, isiganeko seBhanki yaseMelika saphinda saphazamisa ii-asethi ezinobungozi, kunye ne-oyile ekrwada ifumana ukwehla okubalulekileyo kwimarike yempahla yorhwebo;Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-Federal Reserve iphakamise inzala ngamanqaku angama-25 njengoko kucwangcisiwe, kwaye imarike iphinda ixhalabele ngomngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho.Kwixesha elizayo, emva kokukhululwa koxinzelelo lwengozi, imarike kulindeleke ukuba izinzile, kunye nenkxaso eqinile evela kumanqanaba aphantsi angaphambili, kwaye igxininise ekunciphiseni imveliso.

I-oyile ekrwada yehle nge-11.3% ngeholide yoSuku lukaMeyi
Ngomhla woku-1 kuCanzibe, ixabiso lilonke le-oyile ekrwada liye laguquguquka, kunye ne-oyile ekrwada yase-US iguquguquka malunga ne-75 yeedola ngomphanda ngaphandle kokuhla okubalulekileyo.Nangona kunjalo, ngokwembono yomthamo wokurhweba, iphantsi kakhulu kunexesha elidlulileyo, ebonisa ukuba imarike ikhethe ukulinda kwaye ibone, ilindele isigqibo sokunyuka kwenzala ye-Fed elandelayo.
Njengoko iBhanki yaseMelika idibene nenye ingxaki kwaye imarike yathatha amanyathelo angaphambili ukusuka kumbono wokulinda-nokubona, amaxabiso eoli ekrwada aqala ukuhla ngoMeyi 2nd, afikelela kwinqanaba elibalulekileyo le-70 yeedola ngosuku olufanayo.Ngomhla we-3 kaMeyi, i-Federal Reserve ibhengeze i-25 yesiseko senqanaba lenzala, ebangela ukuba amaxabiso e-oyile ekrwada aphinde awele kwakhona, kunye ne-US ekrwada yeoli ngokuthe ngqo ngaphantsi komda obalulekileyo we-70 yeedola ngomphanda.Xa imarike yavulwa nge-4 kaMeyi, i-oyile ekrwada yase-US yade yawela kwi-63.64 yeedola ngomphanda kwaye yaqala ukuphinda ibuyele.
Ke ngoko, kwezi ntsuku zine zokurhweba ezidlulileyo, elona xabiso liphezulu le-intraday lehla kumaxabiso eoli ekrwada laliphezulu ukuya kutsho kwi-10 yeedola ngomphanda, ngokusisiseko ukugqiba ukuphinda unyuke okubangelwe kukucuthwa kwemveliso ngokuzithandela kwangaphambili yiZizwe eziManyeneyo ezifana neSaudi Arabia.
Iinkxalabo zokudodobala koqoqosho zezona zinto ziqhubayo
Ukujonga emva ngasekupheleni kuka-Matshi, amaxabiso eoyile ekrwada nawo aqhubekile nokuhla ngenxa yesehlo seBhanki yaseMelika, amaxabiso e-oyile ekrwada e-US abetha i-65 yeedola ngomphanda ngaxeshanye.Ukuze utshintshe ulindelo olungenathemba ngelo xesha, iSaudi Arabia isebenzisana ngokukhutheleyo namazwe amaninzi ukunciphisa imveliso ukuya kuthi ga kwi-1.6 yezigidi zemibhobho ngosuku, ngethemba lokulondoloza amaxabiso aphezulu e-oyile ngokuqiniswa kwecala lokubonelela;Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-Federal Reserve yatshintsha ukulindela kwayo ukuphakamisa inzala ngamanqaku e-50 ngo-Matshi kwaye yatshintsha imisebenzi yayo yokunyusa inzala ngamanqaku angama-25 nganye ngoMatshi nangoMeyi, ukunciphisa uxinzelelo lwe-macroeconomic.Ke ngoko, iqhutywa zezi zinto zimbini zintle, amaxabiso e-oli ekrwada aphinda anyuka ngokukhawuleza ukusuka ezantsi, kwaye i-oyile ekrwada yase-US yabuyela kuhla-hleko lwe-$80 umphanda.
Undoqo wesiganeko seBhanki yaseMelika kukungabinamali.Uluhlu lwezenzo ze-Federal Reserve kunye norhulumente wase-US unokulibazisa ukukhululwa komngcipheko kangangoko kunokwenzeka, kodwa ayikwazi ukusombulula imingcipheko.Xa iFederal Reserve inyusa izinga lenzala ngamanye amanqaku asisiseko angama-25, inzala yase-US ihleli iphezulu kwaye imingcipheko yokungabinamali yemali iphinda ivele.
Ke ngoko, emva kwenye ingxaki ngeBhanki yaseMelika, iFederal Reserve inyuse inzala ngamanqaku angama-25 njengoko bekucwangcisiwe.Ezi zinto zimbini zingalunganga zibangele ukuba imarike ixhalabe malunga nomngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho, okukhokelela ekwehleni koqingqo-maxabiso lwezinto ezinobungozi kunye nokwehla okubonakalayo kwe-oyile ekrwada.
Emva kokuhla kwe-oyile ekrwada, ukukhula okuhle okuziswe kukuncitshiswa kwemveliso edibeneyo yaseSaudi Arabia kunye nabanye kwagqitywa.Oku kubonisa ukuba kwimakethi ye-oyile ekrwada yangoku, eyona ngqiqo ibalaseleyo yomelele kakhulu kunendlela yokunciphisa ubonelelo olusisiseko.
Inkxaso eyomeleleyo evela ekunciphiseni imveliso, ukuzinzisa kwixesha elizayo
Ngaba amaxabiso eoyile ekrwada ayaqhubeka ehla?Ngokucacileyo, kumbono osisiseko kunye nokubonelela, kukho inkxaso ecacileyo engezantsi.
Ngokombono wesakhiwo se-inventri, ukuchithwa kwe-oyile yase-US kuyaqhubeka, ngakumbi ngoluhlu oluphantsi lwe-oyile ekrwada.Nangona iUnited States iya kuqokelela kwaye igcine kwixesha elizayo, ukuqokelelwa kwe-inventri kuyacotha.Ukuhla kwexabiso phantsi kwe-inventory ephantsi kaninzi kubonisa ukuhla kokumelana.
Ukusuka kumbono wokubonelela, iSaudi Arabia iya kunciphisa imveliso ngoMeyi.Ngenxa yeenkxalabo zemarike malunga nomngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho, ukucuthwa kwemveliso yaseSaudi Arabia kunokukhuthaza ulungelelwaniso olunxulumeneyo phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno ngokuchasene nomva wemfuno ehlayo, ebonelela ngenkxaso ebalulekileyo.
Ukwehla okubangelwa luxinzelelo lwe-macroeconomic kufuna ingqalelo ekunciphiseni icala lemfuno kwimarike ebonakalayo.Nokuba imakethi yebala ibonisa iimpawu zobuthathaka, i-OPEC + inethemba lokuba isimo sengqondo sokunciphisa imveliso eSaudi Arabia nakwamanye amazwe anokubonelela ngenkxaso esezantsi eqinile.Ngoko ke, emva kokukhululwa okulandelayo koxinzelelo lwengozi, kulindeleke ukuba i-oyile ekrwada yase-US iya kuzinza kwaye igcine ukuguquguquka kwe-$ 65 ukuya kwi-$ 70 ngomphanda.