Ebudeni beholide yemini, imakethi yeoyile ye-Ollional Allional Alling njengoko iwile, imakethi yeoyile yase-US iwela ngaphantsi kwe- $ 65 nge-Barrel nganye, enomgangatho wokhulisa ukuya kwi-10 yedola. Kwelinye icala, iBhanki ye-Melika iphinde yaphazamisa iimpahla ezinobungozi, ngeoyile etyhefu ehlangabezana nezona zibalulekileyo kwimarike yempahla; Kwelinye icala, indawo engu-Federal iphakamise amaxabiso enzala ngamanqaku angama-25 njengoko ecwangcisiwe, kwaye intengiso iphinde yakhathazeka malunga nomngcipheko wokudodobala kwezoqoqosho. Kwixa elizayo, emva kokukhululwa kobungozi, imakethi kulindeleke ukuba uzinze, ngenkxaso eqinileyo evela kumanqanaba asezantsi asezantsi, kwaye ugxile ekunciphiseni kwemveliso.
Ioli eyenziwe nge-crade ifumene ukwehla kwe-11.3% ngexesha leholide yemini
Nge-1 kaMeyi, ixabiso elipheleleyo leoyile ye-crude iguqulwe, kunye neoyile yase-US eguqukayo i-Ro $ 75 nge-risorl nganye ngaphandle kokwehla okukhulu. Nangona kunjalo, ukusuka kwimbono yevolumu yokuthengisa, iphantsi kakhulu kunexesha elidlulileyo, ibonisa ukuba imakethi ikhethe ukuba ilinde kwaye ibone, ilinde isigqibo senzala esilandelayo senzala.
Njengoko ibhanki yaseMelika yadibana nenye ingxaki kwaye intengiso ithathe inyathelo lokuqala kwimbono yelindi, i-oyile yeoyile yaqala ukuwela nge-2 7 ukuya kusondela kwinqanaba elibalulekileyo ngemini enye ngosuku olunye. Nge-3 kaMeyi, i-Federal Resersed yabhengeza i-25 i-Scial Qike Indesi ye-SICE, ebangela ukuba i-oyile ye-oyile ye-oyile ukuba iwele kwakhona, kwaye i-US yelo i-oyile engaphantsi kwe- $ 70 nge-righl nganye. Xa intengiso evulwe nge-4 kaMeyi, ioyile ye-chede yawa kwi- $ 63.64 ngemigqobho ye-barrel yaza yaqala kwakhona.
Ke ngoko, kwiintsuku ezine ezidlulileyo zokuthengisa, eyona ndawo iphakamileyo ye-Intraday yamaxabiso e-oyile yayiphezulu njenge- $ 10 ye-Barrel, ngokusisiseko igqiba ukwenziwa kwamakhaya okuzithandela njengeSaudi Arabia.
Inkxalabo yokuthatha i-Recendo yeyona nto iphambili yokuqhuba
Ukujonga emva ngasekupheleni kuka-Matshi, amaxabiso e-oyile aqhekezayo aqhubeka nokwehla ngenxa yebhanki ye-Melika, kunye namaxabiso e-oyile e-bide ebeka i- $ 65 kwinqaku elinye. Ukuze itshintshe ithemba eliqinisekileyo ngelo xesha, i-Saudi Arabia isebenzisane namazwe amaninzi ukunciphisa ukuveliswa kwemveliso ukuya kuthi ga kwi-1.6 yezigidi zemihla ngemihla, ngethemba lokugcina i-oyile ephezulu yokuqiniswa; Kwelinye icala, i-federal reventa yatshintsha indlela yayo yokukhulisa imirhumo yenzala engu-50 ngoMatshi kwaye itshintshe imisebenzi yayo engama-25 kwi-Matshi kwaye inciphisa uxinzelelo lwe-macroeconomic. Ke ngoko, iqhutywa yile miba mibini ilungileyo, amaxabiso eoyile atyhutyha ngokukhawuleza ahlaziywa ngokukhawuleza kwi-lows, kwaye ioyile yase-US ibuyela kwi-oyile ye- $ 80 yomngxunya.
Isiseko seBhanki ye-Melika sisiseko semali. Ungcelele lwentshukumo yogcino lwe-Federal kwaye urhulumente wase-US unokulibazisa ukukhululwa komngcipheko kangangoko kunokwenzeka, kodwa akakwazi ukusombulula umngcipheko. Ngomsebenzi wexesha lokukhulisa inzala yenzala yenye yamanqaku angama-25, amaxabiso ezenzala aseMelika ahlala ephezulu kakhulu kwaye i-curicy yenkcitho ye-Guility iphinde yavuka.
Ke ngoko, emva kwenye ingxaki ngebhanki yaseMelika, i-Federal Reserve iphakamise amaxabiso enzala ngamanqaku angama-25 njengoko bekucwangcisiwe. Ezi zinto zimbini zimbi zangenza ukuba imakethi ikhathazeke ngomngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho, okhokelela ekunciphiseni kumanani osetyenziso olunobungozi kunye nokuhla kweoyile enobungozi.
Emva kokwehla kweoyile ebuhlungu, ukukhula okuqinisekileyo kweziziswa kukokuncitshiswa kwemveliso yokuqala yiSaudi Arabia nabanye kwakugqitywa. Oku kubonisa ukuba kwimakethi yeoyile yangoku, i-macrocantic offic yophawu lomelele kakhulu kunelo logic esisiseko.
Inkxaso eyomeleleyo evela ekunciphisweni kwemveliso, ukuzinza kwixesha elizayo
Ngaba amaxabiso e-oyile aya kuqhubeka ukwala? Ngokucacileyo, ukusuka kwimbono esisiseko kunye nokubonelela, kukho inkxaso ecacileyo engezantsi.
Ukusuka kwimbono yolwazi lwe-inventri, ukupheliswa kwemveliso yeoyile yase-US kuyaqhubeka, ngakumbi ngoluhlu lweoyile esezantsi kweoyile. Nangona i-United States iya kuqokelela kwaye igcine kwixesha elizayo, ukuqokelelwa kwe-inventri kuyacotha. Ukwehla kwamaxabiso phantsi kwe-inventri esezantsi kuhlala kubonisa ukwehla kokunyangeka.
Ukusuka kwimbono yoNcedo, i-Saudi Arabia iya kuyinciphisa imveliso ngoMeyi. Ngenxa yenkxalabo yentengiso malunga nomngcipheko wokuphumelela kwezoqoqosho, i-Saudi Arabia inokukhuthaza ulungelelwano phakathi kwezibonelelo kunye nemfuno ngokuchasene nemfuno yokuncipha, ukubonelela ngenkxaso ebalulekileyo.
Ukwehla okubangelwa yingcinezelo ye-macroeconomic kufuna ingqalelo kwi-buthathaka kwicala lemfuno kwintengiso yomzimba. Nokuba imakethi yendawo ibonisa iimpawu zobuthathaka, i-OPC + inamathemba ukuba isimo sokunciphisa imveliso eSaudi Arabia nakwamanye amazwe kunokubonelela ngenkxaso ephantsi. Ke ngoko, emva kokukhutshwa kwengozi enkulu, kulindeleke ukuba ioyile ye-crude iya kuzinza kwaye igcine i-shittunty ye- $ 65 ukuya kwi- $ 70 kwi-righl nganye.
Ixesha lePosi: I-Meyin-06-2023