Ukususela ekupheleni kukaJuni, ixabiso le-styrene liye laqhubeka likhuphuka malunga ne-940 yuan / ton, litshintsha ukuhla okuqhubekayo kwikota yesibini, ukunyanzela abangaphakathi kwishishini abancinci bathengisa i-styrene ukunciphisa izikhundla zabo.Ngaba ukukhula kobonelelo kuya kuwela ngaphantsi kokulindela kwakhona ngo-Agasti?Ingaba imfuno ye-Jinjiu inokukhutshwa kwangaphambili yisona sizathu siphambili sokugqiba ukuba ixabiso le-styrene lingaqhubeka liqinile.
Kukho izizathu ezithathu eziphambili zokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-styrene ngoJulayi: okokuqala, ukunyuka okuqhubekayo kwamaxabiso e-oyile kumazwe ngamazwe kuye kwakhokelela ekuphuculeni uluvo lwe-macroeconomic;Okwesibini, ukukhula kokubonelela kuphantsi kunokuba bekulindelwe, okukhokelela ekunciphiseni kwemveliso ye-styrene, ukulibaziseka ukuqalisa kwakhona kwezixhobo zokulondoloza, kunye nokuvalwa okungacwangciswanga kwezixhobo zokuvelisa;Okwesithathu, imfuno yokuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle engacwangciswanga inyukile.
Amaxabiso eoli kumazwe ngamazwe ayaqhubeka enyuka, kwaye uqoqosho olukhulu luyaphucuka
NgoJulayi walo nyaka, amaxabiso e-oyile kumazwe ngamazwe aqala ukunyuka, ngokunyuka okuphawulekayo kweentsuku ezilishumi zokuqala emva koko aguquguquka kumanqanaba aphezulu.Izizathu zokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-oyile kumazwe ngamazwe ziquka: 1. I-Saudi Arabia ngokuzithandela yandisa ukunciphisa imveliso yayo kwaye yathumela umqondiso kwiimarike ukuzinzisa imarike yeoli;2. I-CPI yedatha ye-inflation yase-US iphantsi kunokulindela imarike, ekhokelela kwi-dollar yase-US ebuthakathaka.Ulindelo lweemarike kwi-Federal Reserve ukunyusa izinga lenzala kulo nyaka liye lancipha, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba liqhubeke nokunyusa izinga lenzala ngoJulayi, kodwa linganqumama ngoSeptemba.Ngokuchasene nemvelaphi yokucotha ukunyuswa kwenzala kunye nedola yaseMelika ebuthathaka, umdla wokutya umngcipheko kwimarike yempahla ubuyile, kwaye i-oyile ekrwada iyaqhubeka nokunyuka.Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso eoli kumazwe ngamazwe kunyuse ixabiso lebenzene esulungekileyo.Nangona ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-styrene ngoJulayi akuzange kuqhutywe yi-benzene ecocekileyo, ayizange ihlehlise ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-styrene.Ukusuka kwi-Figure 1, kunokubonwa ukuba ukunyuka kwe-benzene ecocekileyo ayilungile njenge-styrene, kwaye inzuzo ye-styrene iyaqhubeka nokuphucula.
Ukongeza, umoya we-macro nawo utshintshile kule nyanga, kunye nokukhutshwa okuzayo kwamaxwebhu afanelekileyo ukukhuthaza ukuthengisa ukuthengisa.Imarike kulindeleke ukuba ibe nemigaqo-nkqubo efanelekileyo kwiNkomfa yezoQoqosho ye-Central Politburo ngoJulayi, kwaye umsebenzi ulumkile.
Ukukhula konikezelo lwe-styrene kuphantsi kunokuba bekulindelwe, kwaye i-inventory yezibuko yehlile endaweni yokwanda
Xa ibhalansi yokubonelela kunye nemfuno ye-Julayi iqikelelwe ngoJuni, kulindeleke ukuba imveliso yasekhaya ngoJulayi iya kuba malunga ne-1.38 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye i-inventory yentlalo edibeneyo iya kuba malunga neetoni ze-50000.Nangona kunjalo, utshintsho olungacwangciswanga lubangele ukunyuka okuphantsi kunokuba bekulindelwe kwimveliso ye-styrene, kwaye endaweni yokunyuka kwe-inventory ye-port enkulu, yehla.
1. Ukuchatshazelwa yimiba yenjongo, amaxabiso okudibanisa izinto ezinxulumene ne-toluene kunye ne-xylene ziye zanda ngokukhawuleza, ngokukodwa ioli ye-alkylated kunye ne-hydrocarbons edibeneyo edibeneyo, ekhuthaze ukwanda kwemfuno yasekhaya yokuxuba i-toluene kunye ne-xylene, okubangelwa ukunyuka okunamandla amaxabiso.Ke ngoko, ixabiso le-ethylbenzene liye landa ngokuhambelanayo.Kumashishini okuvelisa i-styrene, ukuveliswa kwemveliso ye-ethylbenzene ngaphandle kwe-dehydrogenation kungcono kune-dehydrogenation isivuno se-styrene, okubangelwa ukuncipha kwemveliso ye-styrene.Kuyaqondwa ukuba iindleko ze-dehydrogenation malunga ne-400-500 yuan / ton.Xa umehluko wexabiso phakathi kwe-styrene kunye ne-ethylbenzene inkulu kune-400-500 yuan / ton, ukuveliswa kwe-styrene kungcono, kwaye ngokuphambene noko.NgoJulayi, ngenxa yokuncipha kwemveliso ye-ethylbenzene, imveliso ye-styrene yayimalunga neetoni ezingama-80-90000, nto leyo esona sizathu sokuba i-inventory enkulu ye-port ayizange inyuke.
2. Ukugcinwa kweeyunithi ze-styrene kugxininiswe ngokuthe ngqo ukusuka ngoMeyi ukuya kuJuni.Isicwangciso sokuqala sasiya kuqalisa ngoJulayi, uninzi lwalo lugxile phakathi kukaJulayi.Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yezizathu ezithile zenjongo, uninzi lwezixhobo zilibazisekile ekuqaliseni kwakhona;Umthwalo wokuqhuba isixhobo esitsha uphantsi kunokuba ulindelwe, kwaye umthwalo uhlala uphakathi ukuya kwinqanaba eliphantsi.Ukongeza, izityalo ze-styrene ezifana ne-Tianjin Dagu kunye ne-Hainan Refining kunye ne-Chemical nazo zinokuvalwa okungacwangciswanga, okubangela ilahleko kwimveliso yasekhaya.
Izixhobo zaphesheya ziyavaleka, nto leyo ekhokelela ekonyukeni kwemfuno ecetywayo yaseTshayina yokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-styrene
Phakathi kwale nyanga, isityalo se-styrene e-United States sasicetywe ukuba siyeke ukusebenza, ngelixa ukugcinwa kwesityalo eYurophu kwakucwangcisiwe.Amaxabiso anyuka ngokukhawuleza, ifestile ye-arbitrage yavuleka, kwaye imfuno ye-arbitrage yanda.Abarhwebi bathathe inxaxheba ngokukhutheleyo kwiingxoxo, kwaye kwakukho iintengiselwano zokuthumela ngaphandle.Kwezi veki zimbini zidlulileyo, umthamo wentengiselwano uwonke ujikeleze iitoni ezingama-29000, uninzi lwawo lufakwe ngo-Agasti, ikakhulu eMzantsi Korea.Nangona iimpahla zaseTshayina azizange zihanjiswe ngokuthe ngqo eYurophu, emva kokulungiswa kwezinto, ukuthunyelwa kwempahla ngokungangqalanga kwazalisa umsantsa kwindlela yaseYurophu, kwaye ingqalelo yahlawulwa ukuba ingaba ukuthengiselana kunokuqhubeka kwixesha elizayo.Okwangoku, kuyaqondwa ukuba ukuveliswa kwezixhobo e-United States kuya kuyekwa okanye kuya kubuya ngasekupheleni kukaJulayi.Ekuqaleni kuka-Agasti, ngelixa malunga ne-2 yezigidi zeetoni zezixhobo eYurophu ziya kuyekwa kumanqanaba amva.Ukuba bayaqhubeka nokungenisa evela e-China, banokunciphisa kakhulu ukukhula kwemveliso yasekhaya.
Imeko esezantsi yomlambo ayinathemba, kodwa ayifikanga kwinqanaba elibi lengxelo
Okwangoku, ukongeza ekugxininiseni ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, ishishini lemarike likholelwa ukuba impendulo engalunganga evela kwimfuno esezantsi iyona nto iphambili ekunqumeni ixabiso eliphezulu le-styrene.Imiba emithathu ephambili ekumiseleni ukuba ingxelo engentle esezantsi ichaphazela ukuvalwa kweshishini/ukuncitshiswa komthwalo zezi: 1. ingaba iingeniso ezisezantsi ziyalahleka;2. Ngaba kukho naziphi na iiodolo ezantsi komsinga;3. Ingaba uluhlu lwempahla esezantsi komsinga luphezulu.Okwangoku, inzuzo esezantsi ye-EPS/PS ilahlekelwe yimali, kodwa ilahleko kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo isamkelekile, kwaye ishishini le-ABS lisenengeniso.Okwangoku, uluhlu lwe-PS lukwinqanaba eliphantsi kwaye iiodolo zisamkelekile;Ukukhula koluhlu lwe-EPS kuyacotha, kunye nezinye iinkampani ezinoluhlu oluphezulu kunye neeodolo ezibuthathaka.Isishwankathelo, nangona imeko esezantsi ingenathemba, ayikafikeleli kwinqanaba lengxelo engalunganga.
Kuyaqondwa ukuba ezinye iitheminali zisenolindelo oluhle kwi-Double Eleven kunye ne-Double Twelve, kwaye isicwangciso sokucwangcisa imveliso yeefektri zezixhobo zasekhaya ngoSeptemba kulindeleke ukuba zande.Ngoko ke, kusekho amaxabiso aqinileyo phantsi kokuzaliswa kwakhona okulindelekileyo ekupheleni kuka-Agasti.Kukho iimeko ezimbini:
1. Ukuba i-styrene iphinda ibuyele phambi kombindi ka-Agasti, kukho ukulindela ukuphindaphinda kwamaxabiso ekupheleni kwenyanga;
2. Ukuba i-styrene ayiphindi ibuyele phambi ko-Agasti kwaye iyaqhubeka isomelela, ukugcinwa kwe-terminal restocking kunokulibaziseka, kwaye amaxabiso anokuba buthathaka ekupheleni kwenyanga.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jul-25-2023
