Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, ukusebenza ngokubanzi kweisopropanolimarike yayinganelisi. Umthamo omtsha ukhululiwe, kodwa xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka ophelileyo, amandla athile aphelisiwe kwaye umthamo uhlala uzinzile, kodwa uxinzelelo kunye noxinzelelo lwemfuno alupheli. Uxinzelelo lwempahla kwezinye izityalo lusaxhomekeke ekuthomalaliseni imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle, kwaye amaxabiso entengiso ebekwinqanaba elisezantsi ukuya kweliphakathi kunye neamplitude elinganiselweyo kwiminyaka yakutshanje.

Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, imarike ye-isopropanol iyonke yayikwinqanaba eliphantsi ukuya kweliphakathi. Kwimarike yaseJiangsu, umzekelo, ixabiso lemarike eliphakathi kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka laliyi-7,343 yuan / ton, phezulu 00 yuan.62% YoY kunye ne-11.17% YoY. Phakathi kwabo, ixabiso eliphezulu le-8,000 yuan / ton, elivele phakathi koMatshi, ixabiso eliphantsi le-7,000 yuan / ton, elivele ngo-Ephreli. .29%.

I-amplitude encinci yokuguquguquka kwexesha

Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, imakethi ye-isopropanol ngokusisiseko yabonisa umkhwa wokuqala phezulu kwaye wehla, kodwa indawo yokuguquguquka yayilinganiselwe. Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuMatshi, imarike ye-isopropanol yanyuka phezulu. Ekuqaleni koMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo, imisebenzi yokurhweba kwimarike yancipha ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye uninzi lwamacandelo okuthenga nokuthengisa ayekwimeko yokulinda nokubona, kwaye ixabiso lemakethi laliguquguquka ngokwesiseko kuluhlu lwe-7050-7250 yuan/ton; emva koMthendeleko we-Spring, i-acetone kunye ne-propylene market yanyuka yaya kuma-degree ahlukeneyo, iqhuba intshiseko yeefektri ze-isopropanol. Iziko lothethathethwano lwemarike yotywala ye-isopropyl yasekhaya yomxhuzulane ngokukhawuleza lenyuka laya kwi-7,500-7,550 yuan / ton, kodwa ngenxa yokubuya kancinci kwemfuno yesiphelo, imakethi yawa ngokuthe ngcembe yaya ku-7,250-7,300 yuan / ton; NgoMatshi imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle yomelele, ezinye izityalo zokuthengisa utywala ze-isopropyl ezithumela ngaphandle zibekwe ngaphezulu kwi-WTI amaxabiso exesha elizayo leoli ekrwada adlula ngokukhawuleza kwi- $ 120 / umphanda, izityalo zotywala ze-isopropyl kunye nokunikezelwa kweemarike kuyaqhubeka nokuphucula. Ngaphantsi komgangatho wokuthenga kwengqondo, injongo yokuthenga yanda. Phakathi kuMatshi, imarike inyukele kwinqanaba eliphezulu le-7,900-8,000 yuan / toni. Imarike ye-isopropanol yawa ukusuka ngoMatshi ukuya ekupheleni kuka-Epreli. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngo-Matshi, isityalo se-isopropanol sase-Ningbo Juhua savelisa ngempumelelo ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwaye ibhalansi yemfuno yokuthengiswa kweemarike yaphulwa kwakhona. Kwelinye icala, ngo-Epreli, amandla okwenziwa komsebenzi kummandla wehla, nto leyo ekhokelele ekucuthekeni kancinci kwemfuno yorhwebo lwangaphakathi. Phantse ngo-Epreli, ixabiso lemarike lawela kwinqanaba eliphantsi le-7,000-7,100 yuan / ton. NgoMeyi-Juni, imarike ye-isopropanol yayilawulwa yi-oscillations encinci. emva kokuba ixabiso liqhubekile liwela ngo-Epreli, ezinye iiyunithi ze-isopropanol zasekhaya zigxininise kwindawo yokupaka kunye nokugcinwa, kwaye imarike yaqiniswa ngamaxabiso aphantsi, kodwa imfuno yasekhaya yayithe tyaba. Emva kokuphela kolungiselelo lokuthumela ngaphandle, impembelelo yamaxabiso emarike ayonelanga. Ngeli nqanaba, uluhlu oluqhelekileyo lokusebenza kwimarike yi-7,200-7,400 yuan / toni.

Ukunyuka kwendlela yokubonelela ngempahla kuyabonakala, kwaye nemfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle iye yanda kwakhona

Ngokwemveliso yasekhaya, i-Ningbo Juhua ye-50,000 t / iyunithi ye-isopropanol yaveliswa ngempumelelo kwaye yathunyelwa ngaphandle ngo-Matshi, kodwa ngelo xesha, i-Dongying Haike ye-50,000 t / iyunithi ye-isopropanol yachithwa. Ngokwendlela yolwazi yeZhuo Chuang, yasuswa kwi-isopropanol umthamo wokuvelisa, ukwenzela ukuba umthamo we-isopropanol wasekhaya uhlale uzinzile kwiitoni ze-115.80,000. Ngokubhekiselele kwimveliso, imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka yayilungile, kwaye imveliso yayinyuka. Ngokutsho kwezibalo zolwazi lweZhuo Chuang, kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022, imveliso ye-isopropanol yaseChina imalunga ne-25%.59 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwanda kweetoni ezingama-60,000 okanye i-30%.

Ukungeniswa kwamanye amazwe:Impahla ethunyelwa ngaphandle ikwindlela ehlayo ngenxa yokwanda konikezelo lwangaphakathi kunye nonikezelo lwangaphakathi olugqithisileyo kunye nemfuno.Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuJuni 2022, i-China ingenise inani elimalunga ne-19.3 lamawaka eitoni ze-isopropanol, phantsi kwe-000 yeetoni.22 amawaka eetoni, ukuhla kwe-10.23%.

Ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe: Akukho kuncipha koxinzelelo lonikezelo lwangaphakathi, kwaye uxinzelelo lwe-inventri kwezinye izityalo lusaxhomekeke ekunciphiseni imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle.Ukusukela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuJuni 2022, i-China yokuthengisa ngaphandle kwe-isopropanol yayimalunga neetoni ezingama-89,300, iitoni ezingama-40,000.210,000, okanye i-89.05%.

Iinkqubo ezimbini zengeniso kunye nokwahlukana kwemveliso

Ngokutsho Zhuo Chuang ulwazi isopropyl utywala ithiyori gross imodeli inzuzo izibalo, kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka ka-2022, isopropyl utywala acetone hydrogenation inkqubo ithiyori inzuzo enkulu ye-yuan 603 / ton, ngaphezu kwexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo 630 yuan / ton, ukwanda 333%. propylene hydration indlela isopropyl utywala inkqubo ithiyori gross inzuzo ye-120 yuan / ton, ngaphantsi kwexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo 1138 yuan / ton, phantsi 90%.46%. Ukusuka kwi-isopropyl utywala inkqubo ephindwe kabini kwitshati yothelekiso lwenzuzo enkulu inokubonwa, ngo-2022, isopropyl utywala inkqubo ithiyori yenkqubo yengeniso epheleleyo yahlulwe, ithiyori yenkqubo ye-acetone hydrogenation yenqanaba lenzuzo eyongezelelweyo izinzile, i-avareji yengeniso yenyanga ngokusisiseko iguquguquka phakathi kwe-500-700 ye-hydration ye-propyle ye-propyle ye-propyle ye-propyle ye-propyle ye-propyle ye-propyle ye-propyle ye-propyle yuan. inzuzo kanye ilahleko phantse 600 yuan / ton. Xa kuthelekiswa nenzuzo enkulu yezi nkqubo zimbini, inzuzo yenkqubo ye-isopropyl alcohol acetone hydrogenation okwangoku ingcono kunamanzi epropylene.

Ukusuka kwidatha yemfuno yemveliso yotywala ye-isopropyl kwiminyaka yakutshanje, izinga lokukhula kwemfuno yasekhaya alikhange lihambelane nokwandiswa kwamandla emveliso. Kwimeko yokugqithiswa kwexesha elide, inqanaba lenzuzo yethiyori yezityalo ze-isopropanol ibe yinto ephambili ekunqumeni inqanaba lokuqala. Ngo-2022, inzuzo enkulu yenkqubo ye-isopropanol hydrogenation iyaqhubeka idlula amanzi epropylene, okwenza isityalo sesityalo se-isopropanol hydrogenation siphakame kakhulu kunamanzi epropylene. Ngokutsho kwe-Zhuo Chuang yokuhlola idatha yolwazi: kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022, imveliso ye-isopropanol ibalwa malunga ne-80% yemveliso yelizwe lonke.73%.

Gxininisa kwiintsingiselo zeendleko kunye nemfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka

Kwisiqingatha sesibini se-2022, ukusuka kwizinto ezisisiseko zokubonelela kunye nemfuno, akukho yunithi entsha ye-isopropanol kwimarike, amandla okuvelisa i-isopropanol yasekhaya aya kuhlala kwi-1.158 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye imveliso yasekhaya isalawulwa yinkqubo ye-acetone hydrogenation. Ngokunyuka komngcipheko we-stagflation kuqoqosho lwehlabathi, imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-isopropanol iyancipha. Ngexesha elifanayo, imfuno ye-terminal yasekhaya iyacotha ukubuyisela, okanye "ixesha eliphakamileyo aliphumelelanga" kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, ukubonelela kunye nokunyanzeliswa kwemfuno akukancitshiswa. Ukususela kumbono weendleko, kuthathelwa ingqalelo ezinye izixhobo ezitsha ze-phenolic kwisiqingatha sesibini salo nyaka, i-acetone market oversupply, isiphelo esiphezulu sexabiso le-acetone elihlaza liya kuqhubeka kwimodi yempembelelo ephantsi; isiqingatha sesibini salo nyaka, impembelelo yomgaqo-nkqubo we-Federal Reserve wokunyusa inzala kunye nomngcipheko wokudodobala kwezoqoqosho eYurophu nase-United States, kugxininiso lwamaxabiso e-oyile ngamazwe angawa. Icala leendleko liyona nto iphambili echaphazela amaxabiso epropylene, amaxabiso emarike epropylene aya kuncipha xa kuthelekiswa nesiqingatha sesibini salo nyaka. Ngokuqhelekileyo, uxinzelelo lweendleko kumashishini e-isopropanol alubalulekanga okwangoku, kwaye uxinzelelo lweendleko kwi-propylene hydrate isopropanol amashishini kulindeleke ukuba akhululwe, kodwa kwangaxeshanye, ngokungabikho kwenkxaso yeendleko ezisebenzayo, ukukwazi kwemarike ye-isopropanol ukuphindaphinda akwanelanga. Imakethi yotywala ye-Isopropyl kulindeleke ukuba igcine ipatheni yoluhlu lwe-oscillation kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, igxile kumaxabiso e-acetone enyukayo kunye notshintsho kwimfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle.

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