Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, i-octanol ibonise indlela yokunyuka ngaphambi kokuba ihambe ecaleni kwaye yehle, kunye namaxabiso ehla kakhulu unyaka nonyaka. Kwimarike yeJiangsu, umzekelo, ixabiso lemarike laliyi-RMB10,650 / tonne ekuqaleni konyaka kunye ne-RMB8,950 / tonne phakathi nonyaka, kunye nexabiso eliphakathi kwe-RMB12,331 / tonne, phantsi kwe-10.8% ngonyaka. Ixabiso eliphezulu kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka laliyi-RMB14,500 / tonne, eyenzeka ekuqaleni kukaFebruwari. Elona xabiso liphantsi laliyi-RMB8,950 ngetoni nganye, eyenzeka ekupheleni kukaJuni, kunye ne-amplitude ye-RMB5,550 ngetoni nganye phakathi kwamanqaku aphezulu naphantsi.
I-Octanolukuguquguquka kwexabiso kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka kubonakaliswe ngobunzima kunye nokwahluka. Ikota yokuqala yabona indlela eyomeleleyo kwimarike ye-octanol, kodwa ukusebenza ngokubanzi kwemarike yasekhaya ibingaphantsi kunoko bekulindelwe njengoko imfuno yeemveliso ezisezantsi, ekhokelwa ziiglavu zonyango ze-PVC, zinqabile. Ikota yesibini ihambelana nexesha lemfuno yencopho yemveli, kodwa impembelelo yezithintelo zezothutho ezijikeleze i-Yangtze River Delta, impembelelo yexesha leemfuno zencopho yaba buthathaka kakhulu, nangona ngeli xesha, i-multi-seti yasekhaya yezixhobo ezigxile ekugcinweni, ngokulambisa kwi-octanol ukwenza inkxaso ephantsi. Isiqingatha sesibini sekota yesibini, itsalwa phantsi ngokuhla okuhlangeneyo kwiikhemikhali zasekhaya, ezigutyungelwe ngokunikezelwa kweshishini le-octanol ukubuyisela umva, ukuhla okulindelekileyo kudonsa i-octanol ngokukhawuleza.

Izinto ezisemva kotshintsho lwexabiso zifanise unikezelo kunye nedatha yemfuno ye-octanol ukuya kwinqanaba elikhulu.

Imveliso yenyanga ye-octanol kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022 yanyuswa kwisiseko se-YoY. Iyonke imveliso yasekhaya ye-octanol kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka yayiyi-1,722,500 yeetoni, ukwanda kwe-7.33% unyaka nonyaka. Inyanga enkulu yemveliso yenzeke ngoMatshi kwiitoni ezingama-220,900; eyona nyanga incinci yemveliso yenzeke ngoJuni kwiitoni ezingama-20,400. Ngexesha lesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, inzuzo ephezulu yoshishino lwe-octanol yavuselela iinkampani ukuba zigcine ukuzimisela okukhulu ukuvelisa, kwaye ngaxeshanye zatsala amandla athile e-n-butanol ukutshintshela kwimveliso ye-octanol. Emva kwekota yesibini, imisebenzi yolondolozo lwezityalo zasekhaya iye yanda kwaye imveliso ye-octanol yehla.

Ukungeniswa kwamanye amazwe kukwayinxalenye ebalulekileyo yonikezelo lwe-octanol, kunye nokungeniswa kwe-octanol kwehla kakhulu ukusuka ngoJanuwari ukuya kuMeyi kwikhonkco. Ngo-2022 ukuthengwa kwe-octanol yaseTshayina ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuMeyi yayiziitoni ezingama-69,200, phantsi kwe-29.2% ngexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo. Ngeli xesha, i-window ye-arbitrage yokungenisa ivuleke kakubi, enye imveliso yemarike yasekhaya iyancipha, ukuthengiswa kwe-octanol kwempahla kwehle kakhulu.

Ukusuka kwicala lokubonelela ngedatha, ukunikezelwa kwe-octanol ngexesha lesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka kubonakala kuphezulu kakhulu, kodwa ukusebenza kweemfuno ezisezantsi kungaphantsi kunokulindelekile. Ukususela kwisiqingatha sokuqala somzantsi ophambili we-octanol DOTP kunye nedatha yokuvelisa i-DOP, imveliso ye-DOP yanda nge-12% ngonyaka ukuya kwi-550,000 yeetoni, imveliso ye-DOTP yawa nge-2% ngonyaka ukuya kwi-700,000 tons. Ekujonganeni nokunyuka okubonakalayo kwicala lokubonelela, ukukhula kwemfuno kuncinci kunokuba kulindelwe ukuba kubangele ukugqithisa kwe-octanol, kwaye kubangele ukuba ishishini liqhube phambili ukuqokelela ukugcinwa. Ngokuchasene nemvelaphi yoluhlu lweempahla eziphezulu, i-octanol yabona ukuhlehla okubanzi njenge-odolo ezisezantsi ezifunyenwe kwikhontrakthi ngoMeyi-Juni.

Ngethuba lesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, imveliso ephezulu yoshishino lwe-octanol yayisondelelene nokunciphisa ukugcinwa okucwangcisiweyo kwesityalo, ngaphezu kwenqanaba lenzuzo elingcono, enye into ephambili ekunyuseni konyaka-ngonyaka kwimveliso ye-octanol. 2022 Umndilili wengeniso ye-octanol e-Shandong kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka ibiyi-RMB 4,625 ngetoni nganye, yehle nge-25.8% unyaka nonyaka. Ixabiso eliphezulu lenzuzo yayiyi-RMB6,746/tonne, eyenzeka ekuqaleni kukaFebruwari. Ixabiso eliphantsi laliyi-RMB1,901/t, eyenzeka ekupheleni kukaJuni.

Ngexesha lesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, nangona uninzi lwabadlali beemarike babenolindelo oluphezulu lwe-octanol, ukuqokelela ngokukhawuleza kwee-stocks kwi-octanol-plasticizer industry chain emva kwekota yesibini, ngokuchasene ne-backdrop yokunciphisa imfuno epheleleyo unyaka nonyaka kunye nenye irekhodi ephezulu yemveliso yasekhaya, ekugqibeleni ibangele ukuhla ngokukhawuleza kwe-octanol.

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